Sensex surges 600 points ahead of RBI policy decision on 5 August
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The BSE Sensex opened 600 points higher at 79,055 on Wednesday, 5 August, as domestic equity markets rallied ahead of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy announcement. The Nifty50 also gained, opening 54 points up at 24,669, with the headline index climbing nearly 1 per cent in early trade. Positive global cues and a sharp fall in crude oil prices added to the bullish sentiment.
Sector-wise Performance
Gains were broad-based across cyclical sectors. Nifty Realty, Nifty Auto, Nifty PSU Bank, and Nifty Oil & Gas each surged up to 2 per cent in early deals. Nifty Metal, Nifty Cement, and Nifty Chemicals also edged higher, reflecting broad risk-on appetite.
However, defensive sectors faced selling pressure. Nifty Healthcare, Nifty Pharma, Nifty FMCG, and Nifty Private Bank declined up to nearly 1 per cent. Among the top Nifty laggards were Apollo Hospitals, Sun Pharma, Cipla, Dr Reddy's Laboratories, SBI Life, Nestle India, ITC, and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS).
What the RBI Is Expected to Do
Market analysts broadly expect the RBI to hold interest rates steady at its policy meeting on 5 August. 'The central bank is almost certain to hold the rates in today's policy since any rate hike now will impact the ongoing growth momentum in the economy,' analysts noted. The rate-hold expectation has itself been a tailwind for rate-sensitive sectors such as realty and auto.
Global Cues and Crude Oil
Brent crude — the international oil benchmark — fell 1.61 per cent to trade around $78 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude declined approximately 2 per cent to $74.24 per barrel. A dip in crude below the $80 mark is a positive for India, a major oil importer, as it eases the current account deficit and inflationary pressure. US markets also recorded a record closing session overnight, lending further confidence to Asian and Indian traders.
Market Outlook
Analysts pointed to a confluence of supportive factors: resilient economic growth, improving corporate earnings, and Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turning net buyers for the sixth consecutive session. Experts suggested the market appears poised for an upside breakout, contingent on the RBI's tone and forward guidance. Any dovish signal from the central bank could accelerate the rally beyond the opening gains.