Sensex rises 357 points ahead of RBI policy decision on 6 June
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity markets climbed in early trade on Friday, 6 June, with the BSE Sensex surging as much as 357 points or 0.48% to an intraday high of 74,717.57, as investors positioned ahead of a critical Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy announcement. The Nifty50 tracked gains, rising 100 points or 0.42% to 23,516, with broad-based buying across most sectors.
Sector Performance
The Nifty Media index led sectoral gains, jumping 1.81%, followed by Nifty Financial Services, which rose 0.97%. Healthcare counters held firm, with both Nifty Healthcare and Nifty Pharma gaining up to 0.82%. Nifty Realty added 0.71%, while IT, FMCG, PSU banks, and private banks posted marginal gains.
On the losing side, Nifty Metal declined 0.60% and Nifty Oil & Gas slipped marginally by 0.06%. Among individual stocks, Wipro, Tata Steel, Trent, Hindalco Industries, and Coal India featured among the top laggards on the Nifty index.
RBI Policy in Focus
The session's cautious optimism was largely driven by anticipation ahead of the RBI policy decision, with markets watching closely for signals on how the central bank intends to manage inflation and currency pressures amid elevated energy prices linked to ongoing geopolitical tensions in West Asia. Analysts noted mild positive undertones in the market, though they flagged uncertainty. 'There are signs of weakness in the AI trade in the US, South Korea and Taiwan and rotation away from tech stocks, but it is too early to say whether this will sustain,' analysts said.
According to market experts, a 25 basis point rate hike by the RBI could trigger sharp gains in banking stocks, as lenders stand to benefit from higher interest margins. However, the same move would weigh on interest-sensitive segments including automobiles and real estate.
Global Cues and Crude Oil
Asian markets painted a mixed-to-weak picture. Japan's Nikkei fell over 1%, South Korea's KOSPI plunged 5%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng slid approximately 1%, reflecting global risk-off sentiment tied to tech rotation and US economic signals.
Crude oil prices remained elevated, with international benchmark Brent crude rising 0.88% to $95.87 per barrel and US WTI gaining 0.53% to $93.54. Sustained crude prices continue to feed into India's inflation outlook, adding complexity to the RBI's policy calculus.
What to Watch
The RBI's rate decision will be the defining event for markets in the near term. A hike would signal a hawkish pivot with sector-specific consequences, while a pause could sustain the current rally momentum. Investors will also track any forward guidance on liquidity management and the rupee's trajectory against the dollar.