US unipolarity under threat as countries eye multipolar order: Report
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
A foreign policy analysis published on Tuesday, 28 April warns that the United States must recalibrate its global posture, as its insistence on maintaining primacy risks triggering a broad international coalition against it, amid mounting frustration over what the report describes as America's "rogue behaviour". The assessment, carried by India Narrative, offers a sharp critique of Washington's strategic calculus at a moment of heightened geopolitical flux.
The Core Argument: Primacy at Any Cost
Writing for India Narrative, foreign policy researcher Prateek Kapil argues that the US has never accepted a "first-among-equals" status and pursues primacy through military force. He notes that America's geographic insulation — sitting between two great oceans — has historically allowed it to project violence without facing violent reprisals at home.
"The US has never been satisfied with a first-among-equals status. It wants primacy at all costs. Since its own population is insulated from violent reprisals, the US employs violence without consequence to achieve its strategic goals. Most countries have not been able to cope with the overwhelming force that the US military brings down to bear. Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan fought back and won, but at the cost of ruin," Kapil wrote.
He further noted that Iraq and Afghanistan stand as cautionary tales where American military retreats left failed states behind, while Vietnam eventually achieved reunification after years of conflict. "The deal is simple — either comply with Uncle Sam or face ruin. This is the stark reality of the American unipolar order and the American empire," he added.
Iran and the Strait of Hormuz: A Turning Point
Kapil argues that the US decision to launch what he describes as an "unprovoked" military attack on Iran produced a strategically significant outcome. According to his analysis, Iran not only withstood the offensive but also, reportedly, reclaimed control of the Strait of Hormuz within 32 days, reshaping global economic dynamics in the process.
By challenging what Kapil calls the "so-called freedom of navigation" — a cornerstone of US-led unipolarity — Iran has, in his assessment, dealt a considerable blow to American primacy. He argues that US power is fundamentally weakened when it cannot be leveraged to secure economic dominance and sustain global influence.
The Multipolar Shift: Countries Reassessing Allegiances
The analysis highlights a broader global realignment away from US-centric order. "Iran's legitimate control of the Strait of Hormuz has led to massive shortages across the globe and ushered in calls for a multipolar order. Countries are mulling ways and means to reject American unipolarity and use the emergence of multipolarity to their advantage," Kapil wrote in India Narrative.
He contends that nations no longer regard the United States as a credible guardian of values or security interests, instead characterising Washington as a "predatory hegemon." According to Kapil, this perception has "completely obliterated American credibility and legitimacy as the global superpower."
Context and Significance
The report arrives at a time when multilateral institutions and emerging economies have been increasingly vocal about reforming global governance structures. Analysts across geopolitical spectrums have noted rising interest among the Global South in diversifying strategic partnerships beyond the traditional US-led framework. This commentary, while representing one researcher's perspective, reflects a strand of thinking that has gained traction in foreign policy circles in Asia, Africa, and Latin America.
Whether the multipolar momentum translates into a durable structural shift — or remains a collection of rhetorical positions — will depend significantly on how Washington responds to the erosion of its soft power alongside its hard power limitations.