Why is Bank Credit Growth Surpassing Deposit Growth?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Bank credit growth is at 11.5% YoY, matching last year’s rate.
- Aggregate deposits reached Rs 238.8 lakh crore with a 9.5% YoY increase.
- The credit-to-deposit ratio is now 80.4%, surpassing the 80% mark.
- Festive season demand and GST cuts are key drivers of this trend.
- The WACR rose to 5.53%, indicating tighter liquidity.
New Delhi, Nov 4 (NationPress) Bank credit growth has outpaced deposit growth as of mid-October, fueled by seasonal festive demand, GST rate reductions, and vigorous activity in the retail and MSME sectors, according to a report released on Tuesday.
Total credit off-take reached Rs 192.1 lakh crore (as of October 17), representing an impressive 11.5 percent year-on-year increase, aligning with last year's growth rate, as noted by the report from Care Edge Ratings.
Moreover, significant vehicle financing during the festive period is anticipated to further enhance overall credit growth, driven by corporate interest due to rising bond yields, the ratings agency highlighted.
Total aggregate deposits amounted to Rs 238.8 lakh crore, reflecting a 9.5 percent year-on-year increase but a sequential decline of 1 percent compared to the previous fortnight, as stated in the report.
The credit-to-deposit (CD) ratio has risen to 80.4 percent in the current fortnight, exceeding the 80 percent threshold, according to Care Edge Ratings.
The report indicated that the decline in deposits during this fortnight was influenced by temporary factors, including festive-season cash withdrawals and an increase in currency circulation, which rose by approximately Rs 1 lakh crore YoY.
The slowdown in deposit growth may be linked to banks entering a rate-cutting cycle, prompting investors to seek alternative investment opportunities.
The short-term weighted average call rate (WACR) increased to 5.53 percent, up from 5.47 percent in the prior fortnight, and is currently three basis points above the repo rate of 5.50 percent, as reported.
This rise in WACR illustrates tighter liquidity conditions within the banking system, driven by heightened credit demand, even as the RBI continues to manage liquidity through variable repo rate operations (VRR), it concluded.