Gold, silver prices drop up to 2% on stronger dollar, Fed rate fears
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Gold and silver prices on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) fell sharply on Monday, 13 July, sliding by as much as 2 per cent as a firmer US dollar and rising expectations of elevated US interest rates overwhelmed safe-haven buying, even as tensions between the US and Iran intensified. The dual pressure of a strong greenback and hawkish Federal Reserve signals proved too heavy for precious metals to absorb.
MCX Gold and Silver Performance
MCX gold futures (August 5) opened at ₹1,42,633, down ₹845 or 0.58 per cent from the previous close of ₹1,43,478. The yellow metal slid as far as 1.33 per cent, touching an intraday low of ₹1,41,557 around 10 am IST. At last count, it was trading at ₹1,42,100, down ₹1,378 or 0.96 per cent.
MCX silver futures (September 4) fell as much as 2.41 per cent or ₹5,387 to an intraday low of ₹2,17,277. The white metal was last seen at ₹2,18,665, down ₹3,999 or 1.80 per cent, after recording an intraday high of ₹2,18,844.
Global Markets Mirror the Decline
Weakness was mirrored in international markets. COMEX gold fell 1.27 per cent to $4,061 per ounce, while COMEX silver declined 0.58 per cent to $58 per ounce. The Dollar Index — which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound sterling, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc — rose to 100.90, reinforcing pressure on dollar-denominated commodities.
What Is Driving the Pressure
According to market experts, the primary drag on gold came from a combination of a stronger dollar and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Fresh US military strikes on Iran and retaliatory actions by Tehran — including reported targeting of US military bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, and Jordan — pushed crude oil prices higher, reviving fears of energy-driven inflation. Elevated US Treasury yields further reduced the appeal of non-yielding assets such as gold, experts noted.
Notably, the dynamic underscores a recurring tension in commodity markets: geopolitical flare-ups that would ordinarily boost gold as a safe haven are being offset by the inflation implications of those same events, which in turn raise the probability of higher US rates — a net negative for bullion.
What Investors Are Watching Next
Market participants are closely tracking developments in the US-Iran conflict, upcoming US economic data, and commentary from the US Federal Reserve for direction on interest rates and near-term gold price movement, according to experts. Any escalation in the Middle East that pushes oil materially higher could keep the inflation-rate-hike feedback loop in play, sustaining headwinds for precious metals in the sessions ahead.