Will India’s Insurance Sector Achieve Strong Performance in Q3 Due to GST Benefits?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- India's insurance sector is projected to perform well in Q3 FY26.
- GST-related changes are driving affordability and growth.
- Life insurers are expected to achieve significant APE growth.
- General insurers will benefit from strong motor and health insurance demand.
- Profitability may face pressure from commission and regulatory changes.
Mumbai, Jan 6 (NationPress) The insurance sector in India is poised to showcase a commendable operational performance in Q3 FY26, buoyed by advantageous GST-related factors impacting life, general, and health insurance categories, according to a report released on Tuesday.
While the momentum in premium growth is anticipated to gain strength, profitability indicators may face challenges due to losses from GST input tax credit (ITC), rising commission expenses, and regulatory changes, as highlighted in the report by Emkay Global Financial Services.
As stated in the report, life insurance firms are expected to achieve substantial Annualised Premium Equivalent (APE) growth in this quarter, aided by better affordability stemming from GST modifications and the normalization of base effects following the introduction of updated surrender regulations.
Protection products are likely to benefit significantly from the GST tailwind, with an increasing customer inclination towards term insurance enhancing sales volumes.
The Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) is anticipated to report impressive APE growth, bolstered by a favorable retail segment base and strong momentum in group business, according to the report.
General insurance companies are expected to record robust Gross Written Premium (GWP) growth, primarily driven by substantial activity in the Motor and Health insurance sectors.
The reduction in GST rates is predicted to foster new vehicle sales, thus promoting growth in the Motor Own Damage segment.
Additionally, the retail health insurance segment is set to experience significant growth, aided by improved affordability due to GST rate exemptions. Conversely, the group health segment may see relatively modest expansion due to heightened competitive pressures, the report noted.
Combined ratios for general insurers are expected to remain elevated during the quarter, primarily due to increased commission payouts.
However, select players may witness slight improvements in claims ratios.
Looking forward, Emkay anticipates that life insurers will continue to maintain a solid APE growth trajectory, propelled by GST tailwinds and the normalization of base effects.