Indian manufacturing sentiment rebounds in Q2 FY27: FICCI report
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian manufacturing sentiment improved significantly in the second quarter of FY27, with stronger expectations across production, demand, exports, and hiring, according to a survey-based report by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI). The findings suggest a recovery in business confidence despite persistent global geopolitical headwinds.
Production and Demand Conditions Improve
Around 95 per cent of respondents reported higher or unchanged production levels in Q2 FY27, a sharp rise from 77 per cent in the preceding quarter. Demand conditions mirrored this trend, with 90 per cent of manufacturers reporting higher or stable order books, up from 77 per cent in Q1.
Capacity utilisation also edged up to approximately 75 per cent in Q2, from 72 per cent in the previous survey, signalling improved use of existing manufacturing assets — a metric closely watched by policymakers as a precursor to fresh capital expenditure.
Export Sentiment Strengthens
About 80 per cent of respondents reported higher or unchanged exports compared with the year-earlier period, against 74 per cent in the previous quarter. FICCI attributed part of this improvement to export diversification efforts by both the government and industry, at a time when global trade routes are being redrawn under tariff and geopolitical pressures.
Hiring Plans Pick Up
Manufacturers reported stronger near-term recruitment intentions, with 43 per cent of respondents indicating plans to hire additional workers over the next three months, compared with 35 per cent in Q1 FY27. The automotive and auto-components sector showed the strongest growth outlook, while machine tools and metal products were expected to record strong-to-moderate growth. Capital goods, chemicals, glass, electronics, electrical equipment, and textiles were projected to post moderate growth.
Challenges: Costs, Rates and Structural Headwinds
Despite the upbeat headline numbers, cost pressures intensified. Nearly 83 per cent of respondents reported higher production costs as a share of sales, up from 79 per cent in Q1. The average interest rate paid by manufacturers rose to 9.1 per cent from 8.9 per cent in the previous quarter, even as 90 per cent of respondents reported adequate access to bank funding.
Respondents continued to flag geopolitical tensions, tariffs, trade restrictions, demand uncertainty, skill shortages, raw material constraints, logistics costs, and regulatory hurdles as key barriers to capacity expansion. The industry's investment outlook for the next six months remained broadly stable, suggesting caution alongside optimism.
What to Watch
The rebound in capacity utilisation toward the 75 per cent mark is significant — historically, sustained utilisation above 75–80 per cent has preceded fresh private investment cycles in India. If hiring intentions convert to actual recruitment and order books hold, Q3 FY27 data could confirm whether this is a durable revival or a seasonal uptick.