Sensex, Nifty rebound sharply on US-Iran peace hopes, Brent crude dip
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity benchmarks Sensex and Nifty snapped a two-week losing streak on 13 June, posting their strongest weekly gains in recent sessions as investor optimism around a potential US-Iran peace agreement and a pullback in Brent crude prices lifted market sentiment. The Nifty 50 surged 1.99% on the final trading day of the week to close at 23,622, adding 1.10% over the five sessions. The BSE Sensex closed up 1,695 points, or 2.30%, at 75,527, gaining 1.73% for the week.
Sectoral Performance
Financials emerged as the week's standout performers, with private banks leading the charge following favourable regulatory developments. A defensive rotation away from higher-beta growth segments reinforced the sector's outperformance. FMCG stocks also advanced, buoyed by expectations of sustained pricing power in a moderating inflation environment.
On the other side, the IT sector extended its decline, while metal stocks remained under pressure from softer commodity prices and muted demand expectations from China. Large-cap stocks outperformed the broader market, as mid- and small-cap segments witnessed profit booking after their recent strong rally. The Nifty Midcap100 gained 0.98% and the Nifty Smallcap100 edged up 0.48% during the week.
FII Selling and DII Support
Cumulative Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling during the week stood at approximately ₹15,300 crore, continuing to act as a key headwind for domestic equities. However, the pace of outflows moderated in the latter part of the week, offering some relief. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) more than offset the foreign outflows, recording net inflows of around ₹24,000 crore, underscoring sustained confidence from home-grown funds.
Macro Signals and Bond Market
US bond yields eased during the week, though persistent inflationary pressures and resilient labour market data are keeping expectations of a delayed rate-cut cycle intact, according to analysts. Indian equities, analysts noted, 'traded in a range-bound manner with a mild negative bias, witnessing a modest recovery toward the end of the week.' Domestic bond yields also moderated, supported by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) policy measures that improved liquidity conditions and attracted foreign inflows into the debt market.
Technical Levels and What to Watch
The Nifty 50 faces a crucial resistance zone around 23,800, while immediate support is seen in the 23,550–23,500 range. In Bank Nifty, resistance is placed around 56,900–57,000, with support at 56,500–56,400. Market participants are closely watching domestic WPI inflation data, China's industrial output figures, and the upcoming US Federal Reserve policy decision — any of which could set the tone for the next directional move. A slowdown in FII selling or clearer visibility on the Fed's policy path could serve as the next meaningful trigger for domestic markets.