Sensex, Nifty snap eight-week losing streak as crude oil retreats
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian equity benchmarks ended the week on a strong note, snapping an eight-week losing streak as Brent crude prices pulled back from recent highs, reviving risk appetite across sectors. The recovery was broad-based, with IT, banking, FMCG, and auto all witnessing renewed buying interest.
Weekly and Daily Gains
The BSE Sensex closed 879 points or 1.23% higher at 72,472 on Friday, extending its weekly gain to 0.78%. The NSE Nifty50 advanced 1.30% on the final trading day to settle at 22,520, booking a 0.44% weekly rise. Markets staged a particularly strong session on Friday, taking a breather after a sharp sell-off in the preceding session.
Broader Market and Sectoral Performance
Midcap and smallcap indices largely mirrored the benchmark move. The Nifty Midcap100 added 0.09% for the week, while the Nifty Smallcap100 gained 0.44%. Market breadth improved sharply, with the advance-decline ratio climbing to 1.35, signalling renewed investor appetite for mid- and small-cap stocks after a steep correction in prior sessions. IT stocks led the sectoral recovery, supported by a positive quarterly earnings result. NSE cash-market turnover, however, fell 14% from the previous session.
Rupee Recovers; Macro Risks Persist
The Indian rupee also firmed up, gaining 5 paise to close at 96.71 against the US dollar, recovering after three consecutive sessions of weakness and moving in line with its Asian peers. The dollar softened as crude prices eased and global risk appetite improved. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reportedly intervened to provide additional support to the rupee. Despite the positive week, analysts cautioned that elevated bond yields and continued foreign fund outflows kept the broader sentiment cautious.
Global Triggers and Technical Levels
Sentiment got a lift after US President Donald Trump indicated that the US would refrain from military action against Iran ahead of the November midterm elections, easing geopolitical risk premium in energy markets. On the technical front, analysts identified 22,200–22,300 as the immediate support zone for Nifty, with 22,700–22,800 as the key resistance zone to watch. According to market participants, investors should 'remain selective, maintain disciplined position sizing and favour a hedged approach amid elevated macroeconomic and earnings-related uncertainty.'
What to Watch Next
The sustainability of this recovery will depend on global crude price trajectory, the pace of foreign institutional investor outflows, and upcoming corporate earnings. Any renewed surge in bond yields or a reversal in crude could quickly test the newly established support levels.