India cuts TB deaths 38% since 2015, outpaces global average: WHO
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India has reduced tuberculosis-related deaths by 38 per cent since 2015, surpassing the global average decline of 35 per cent, according to the World Health Organization's Global TB Report 2026. The estimated TB mortality rate in India fell from 280 deaths per million people in 2015 to 180 deaths per million in 2025, a decline that health experts say reflects a decade of sustained public health investment.
However, the gains come with a significant caveat: India still accounts for 25 per cent of all TB cases globally in 2025, making it the single largest contributor to the world's TB burden.
India's Progress Against Global Benchmarks
The WHO report places India's mortality reduction ahead of the worldwide average, a notable achievement for a country managing the largest share of TB incidence. The global TB burden remains concentrated, with most cases arising from 30 high-burden countries. After India, the next largest contributors to global TB cases in 2025 were Indonesia at 10 per cent, the Philippines at 6.8 per cent, China at 6.5 per cent, Pakistan at 6.4 per cent, Nigeria at 4.9 per cent, the Democratic Republic of the Congo at 3.9 per cent, and Bangladesh at 3.7 per cent.
The MDR-TB Challenge
India remains among just four countries that together account for more than 50 per cent of global multidrug-resistant (MDR) TB cases in 2025, underscoring the complexity of the challenge despite overall mortality gains. Both the WHO and the Indian government have confirmed, however, that MDR-TB incidence has been gradually declining. The WHO noted that India's TB profile will be separately reviewed and updated following an analysis of district-level sentinel surveillance (DLSS) data, undertaken in collaboration with India's Central TB Division and the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR).
'Following completion of this work, estimates of trends in TB incidence are expected to be updated in early 2027 after which WHO will publish an updated country profile for India,' the WHO stated.
What the Government's TB Programme Has Delivered
India's Health Ministry said the fall in TB mortality reflects the country's strong performance under its patient-centred care model. A treatment success rate of 94 per cent was highlighted as evidence of effective delivery. The government's TB Mukt Bharat Abhiyaan has brought more than 25 crore people under intensified screening, with over 11 crore chest X-rays conducted to strengthen early detection. In 2025, 48.64 lakh new TB cases were identified, including 14.97 lakh asymptomatic cases — a signal that the surveillance net is widening.
What Comes Next
The updated incidence trend estimates for India are expected in early 2027, once the DLSS data analysis is complete. That revision may alter the picture of how fast India is actually reducing new infections — a metric distinct from mortality, and arguably the harder one to move. This comes amid India's broader goal of eliminating TB by 2025 under the National Strategic Plan — a target widely acknowledged to be aspirational given the current incidence figures, and one that experts say will now require an accelerated push into the final stretch of the decade.