China distancing itself from Iran amid BRICS+ summit snub, report says
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Despite being Iran's most significant economic partner, China has shown little appetite for tying its broader Middle East strategy to Tehran, according to an analysis published by the MBN news website. The report, authored by Jim Snyder, points to a pattern of deliberate diplomatic distance that played out conspicuously during the BRICS+ summit in New Delhi last week.
The BRICS+ Summit Snub
At the New Delhi summit, Chinese President Xi Jinping — who spent less than a day in India — held a substantive meeting with Prime Minister Narendra Modi and used the occasion to court Global South support for his security governance initiative. Notably, no public interaction with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian was recorded. 'There are no reports that he spoke to Pezeshkian. It was a notable display of distance between two countries often portrayed as strategic partners,' the MBN article observes.
A Pattern at the SCO Summit Too
The distancing reportedly extended to the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit held last month in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan. According to the MBN report, Xi held 'formal, photographed meetings' with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, and Kyrgyz President Sadyr Japarov. By contrast, Pezeshkian received only 'a brief sideline meeting and considerably less attention.' The contrast in treatment underlines what experts cited in the article describe as a deliberate Chinese posture.
What Experts Say
Analysts cited in the report argue that Beijing does not want to appear 'particularly cozy with Iran at this time.' This stands in sharp contrast to Xi's overt and well-documented support for Putin. The asymmetry, the article suggests, reflects a strategic calculus: Russia is a partner China is willing to be seen embracing publicly, while Iran remains a relationship it prefers to manage quietly.
Economics Over Strategy
The MBN report notes that China-Iran ties have historically been driven by economics rather than geopolitical alignment. China has benefited from access to discounted Iranian crude, while Tehran has depended on Chinese goods and revenue. Iran sends more exports to China than to any other country. However, the relationship is structurally unequal: Iran accounts for less than 1% of China's total global trade.
Notably, despite the two nations signing a landmark 25-year cooperation agreement in 2021 — encompassing energy, infrastructure, trade, and security — investment flows between the two countries have reportedly remained minimal, the article highlights.
Strategic Implications
MBN's inaugural 'Great Powers Index' places Iran closer to China than any other country in the MENA region. Yet, the report cautions that the data overstates the depth of the partnership. As China calibrates its Middle East positioning — balancing ties with Gulf states, Israel, and the broader Global South — Tehran appears to be a liability it is quietly sidelining rather than a strategic asset it is cultivating. How long Beijing can maintain this studied ambiguity, especially as Iran's regional influence and isolation both deepen, remains a key question for analysts tracking the two countries' relationship.