India's US Treasury holdings climb to $219.7 bn as China's shrink
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's holdings of US Treasury securities rose to $219.7 billion in August 2026, marking a third consecutive month of gains, even as China's holdings fell sharply to $590.7 billion, according to data released by the US Treasury under its Treasury International Capital (TIC) reporting framework. The divergence underscores a shifting landscape in how the world's two most populous nations manage their exposure to American sovereign debt.
India's Steady Accumulation
India's holdings jumped by approximately $17 billion in a single month, rising from $202.6 billion in July to $219.7 billion in August. The climb is particularly notable given that India's holdings had touched a low of $181 billion in April. The recovery has been consistent: $181.3 billion in May, $186.4 billion in June, $202.6 billion in July, and now $219.7 billion in August. India's current level is broadly in line with where it stood a year earlier, when holdings were $219.4 billion.
India now ranks 14th among the largest foreign holders of US Treasuries, sitting behind Hong Kong at $261.5 billion and just ahead of Norway at $214 billion.
China's Accelerating Retreat
China's holdings fell from $618 billion in July to $590.7 billion in August — a drop of roughly $27 billion in one month. The longer trend is more striking: China held $699.7 billion in August 2025, meaning its total exposure has contracted by approximately $109 billion over the past 12 months. China remains the third-largest foreign holder of US Treasuries, but its position continues to erode relative to both Japan and the United Kingdom.
Notably, the gap between India's and China's US Treasury holdings has narrowed to roughly $371 billion, down from approximately $480 billion a year ago — a convergence of over $100 billion in 12 months.
The Global Leaderboard
Japan retained its position as the largest foreign holder at $1,068.3 billion, though its own holdings dipped from $1,103.9 billion in July. The United Kingdom held second place at $1,009.5 billion, up from $998.3 billion. Behind China, the next largest holders were Belgium at $490.5 billion, Canada at $464.6 billion, the Cayman Islands at $463 billion, and Luxembourg at $448.2 billion.
Overall TIC Flows and a Caveat
The TIC report recorded a net inflow of $199.8 billion into the United States in August. Foreign residents increased their holdings of long-term US securities, with net purchases of $300.7 billion, while simultaneously decreasing their holdings of US Treasury bills by $47.8 billion.
The US Treasury itself flagged an important limitation: since the data are collected primarily from US-based custodians and broker-dealers, holdings in overseas custody accounts 'may not be attributed to the actual owners,' meaning the country-level figures may not reflect true economic ownership. The next TIC release, covering September, is scheduled for 18 November.
This comes amid an evolving geopolitical context in which Beijing's long-term trajectory on US debt remains a closely watched indicator for global bond markets and dollar diplomacy alike.