India-Turkey value chain tie-up beats factory rivalry, report says
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India and Turkey stand to gain significantly more by dividing production tasks across shared value chains than by racing each other to attract entire factories from the same multinationals, according to a new report by India Narrative released on 17 August. The study warns that when both nations target identical industries and compete for the same multinational orders, the result is a costly duplication that benefits neither.
The Core Argument
The report identifies five sectors — automotive electronics, railway equipment, renewable-energy components, machinery parts, and industrial software — as realistic candidates for structured collaboration, provided the two countries agree to divide production stages rather than replicate them. 'Partnerships should share value chains, not compete for investment announcements,' the report states, cautioning that incentive programmes in both nations risk devolving into an expensive contest to 'persuade the same multinational groups to place an entire plant on one side rather than the other.'
Where the Overlap Is Sharpest
The collision of industrial ambitions is most visible in electronics and clean energy. India, on 30 March, approved 29 proposals under its Electronics Components Manufacturing Scheme, covering flexible printed circuit boards, connectors, heat sinks, lithium-ion cells, and rare-earth magnets. Turkey's HIT-30 programme targets many of the same industries, with support packages that include $5 billion for electric vehicles, $4.5 billion for batteries, and $5 billion for semiconductors, according to the report.
In renewable energy, the duplication risk is equally stark. India reported 172 GW of solar-module manufacturing capacity by March 2026, while Turkey is simultaneously backing solar cells, wind-turbine components, and batteries through HIT-30. The report warns that building two protected supply chains for every technology could produce excess capacity in the same low-margin production stages.
Complementary Strengths on Paper
Turkey already hosts around 1,100 automotive component suppliers and exported roughly three-quarters of its vehicle output in 2025, giving it deep hardware manufacturing credentials. India, by contrast, offers a far larger domestic market, rapidly expanding electronics capacity, and localisation-linked incentive schemes. The report notes these assets are complementary — but only if cooperation extends beyond a single flagship joint venture in one country.
A Practical Starting Point
As an immediate step, the report recommends beginning with automotive electronics: Indian firms could produce flexible circuits or sensor assemblies, while Turkish partners supply tooling, housings, or thermal-management components. Crucially, the report argues that this division should be driven by cost, capability, and buyer-audit requirements — not by a diplomatic shorthand that assigns software expertise to India and hardware to Turkey.
What Needs to Happen Next
The report's broader message is that bilateral industrial policy must move from headline announcements to granular supply-chain mapping. Without deliberate coordination, both countries risk investing public money to subsidise the same low-value production stages, undermining each other's export competitiveness in the process. The next step, analysts suggest, lies in sector-specific working groups that can translate the report's framework into binding procurement and co-development agreements.