What Risks Does South Korea Face from US Tariffs?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Manufacturing constitutes 27.6% of South Korea's GDP.
- 44.4% of GDP is driven by exports.
- Key sectors include semiconductors and shipbuilding.
- US tariffs could lead to significant economic repercussions.
- Negotiations with the US are ongoing to avert tariffs.
Seoul, July 27 (NationPress) South Korea holds the second-highest manufacturing share in its gross domestic product (GDP) among major economies, as revealed by data on Sunday. This highlights its susceptibility to the stringent tariff policies of the United States.
The manufacturing industry constituted 27.6 percent of South Korea's GDP in 2023, significantly surpassing the OECD average of 15.8 percent, according to the National Assembly Budget Office (NABO).
South Korea ranked second among OECD nations, only trailing behind Ireland, which recorded 31 percent. In contrast, Germany and Japan had rates of 20.1 percent and 20.7 percent, respectively.
“While many developed nations are witnessing a shift towards a larger service sector, South Korea retains a commendably high level of manufacturing output,” the office noted. “Considering the scale of its economy, South Korea is still perceived as a nation with a considerable reliance on manufacturing.”
The manufacturing sector is fundamental to the Korean economy, with vital industries like semiconductors, rechargeable batteries, shipbuilding, and automobiles sustaining their competitive edge globally.
As a result of its manufacturing-driven economy, South Korea is highly reliant on exports, which serve as a crucial growth driver.
By 2024, exports represented 44.4 percent of the nation's GDP, markedly higher than the OECD average of 30 percent.
Among the G7 countries, Germany exhibited the highest export-to-GDP ratio at 41.8 percent, followed by France at 33.9 percent, Italy at 32.7 percent, and Canada at 32.4 percent. The US recorded a mere 10.9 percent.
In 2024, South Korea's export dependency on the US was reported at 18.8 percent, according to Yonhap news agency.
Given the nation's significant manufacturing ratio and its export reliance on the US, the anticipated reciprocal tariffs pose a serious risk to the economy.
Negotiations are intensifying between Seoul and Washington, as the Trump administration has warned that South Korea could face a 25 percent reciprocal tariff if no agreement is reached before August 1.
“Should the proposed reciprocal tariffs be enforced, the Korean economy could experience a profound impact,” stated Yang Joon-seok, an economics professor at the Catholic University of Korea.
“We must capitalize on our strengths in key sectors like shipbuilding and semiconductors during these negotiations,” he added.