Nandigram bypoll 2026: Six-way fight, but BJP's grip makes second spot the real contest
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The Nandigram assembly constituency in East Midnapore district, West Bengal, is heading into a six-cornered electoral contest on 6 October 2026, with political observers suggesting the real battle is not for first place — which the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is widely expected to win — but for the runner-up position. The bypoll was necessitated after West Bengal Chief Minister Suvendu Adhikari won from both Nandigram and Bhabanipur in this year's Assembly elections and opted to retain Bhabanipur, vacating the former seat.
How Nandigram Fell Vacant
In the Assembly elections held earlier this year, Chief Minister Suvendu Adhikari registered victories in both Nandigram and Bhabanipur. Notably, he defeated former Chief Minister and All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) chief Mamata Banerjee in Bhabanipur. Adhikari chose to keep the Bhabanipur seat, making the Nandigram bypoll mandatory under electoral rules.
The BJP has swept all 16 constituencies in East Midnapore in the earlier Assembly polls. Nandigram has been a particularly strong BJP bastion since the 2021 Assembly elections, largely on the strength of Adhikari's political influence in the area.
BJP's Candidate and the Sympathy Factor
The BJP has fielded Hasirani Rath, mother of Chandranath Rath — Adhikari's personal assistant who was shot dead in North 24 Parganas on 6 May, shortly after the Assembly election results were declared. Her candidature has introduced a strong emotional dimension into the campaign, which political analysts say has further consolidated the party's position in the constituency.
'The sympathy factor surrounding Hasirani Rath's candidature has further strengthened the BJP's position in the bypoll. The key question now is whether any of the non-BJP candidates can secure enough votes to retain their deposits,' a Kolkata-based political observer said.
Six Candidates, A Fragmented Opposition
Besides Hasirani Rath for the BJP, five other candidates are contesting: Sanchita Pradhan Dey from the Mamata Banerjee-led 'original-but-minority' faction of the TMC; Ehteshmul Haque from the Riatarbrata Banerjee-led 'rebel-but-majority' faction of the TMC; Shanti Gopal Giri of the Communist Party of India (CPI); Milan Pradhan of the Indian National Congress (Congress); and Mohammad Sabe Miraj Ali Khan of the All India Secular Front (AISF).
This crowded field means the anti-BJP vote is likely to split across multiple candidates, weakening any single challenger's prospect of mounting a meaningful contest for second place, let alone the top spot.
Mamata's Compromise Bid Falls Through
Efforts by TMC chief Mamata Banerjee to broker an electoral understanding ahead of the bypoll filings reportedly came undone. Banerjee is said to have offered to withdraw her faction's candidate from Nandigram if Congress agreed to stay out of the Rejinagar constituency — where bypolls are also scheduled on 6 October. The Congress high command reportedly declined the offer, locking in multi-cornered contests in both seats.
The bypolls for both Nandigram and Rejinagar assembly constituencies are scheduled for 6 October, with results to be declared on 9 October. The outcome is expected to offer a snapshot of the political mood in West Bengal ahead of state-level consolidation efforts by all major parties.