Can BJP Capitalize on TN’s Dalit Vote Bank After Bihar's Triumph?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- BJP seeks to consolidate Dalit votes in Tamil Nadu.
- Inspiration drawn from Bihar Assembly elections success.
- Importance of Scheduled Caste population in electoral outcomes.
- Efforts to unite SC parties under NDA umbrella.
- Challenges posed by dominant Dravidian parties.
Chennai, Nov 16 (NationPress) The remarkable triumph of the BJP-led coalition in the Bihar Assembly elections has led to a significant strategic reassessment within the party. Top leaders are reportedly considering applying a similar approach in Tamil Nadu by uniting Scheduled Caste (SC) parties and rallying Dalit votes in preparation for the 2026 Assembly elections.
In Bihar, opposition factions have contended that the role of Union Minister Chirag Paswan’s Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) was pivotal in the NDA's success. The LJP(RV) secured 19 seats and garnered 4.97 percent of the vote share. This outcome has bolstered the belief that a robust, unified Dalit-centric party can significantly sway electoral outcomes in regions with substantial SC demographics.
During the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections, Nitish Kumar refrained from including Chirag Paswan in the coalition, compelling the LJP to contest independently on 135 seats, achieving 5.66 percent of the vote. The division of votes adversely affected the JD(U), reducing its count to just 43 out of the 115 seats it contested. The BJP and Nitish Kumar learned from this experience and welcomed Chirag Paswan back into the NDA, reaping the benefits of a consolidated SC voting base.
Similarly, Tamil Nadu boasts nearly 20 percent of its population belonging to Scheduled Castes and is home to various SC-centric parties, including Thol. Thirumavalavan’s VCK and Krishnasamy’s Puthiya Tamilagam. However, none of these parties represent Dalits to the extent that Chirag Paswan’s organization does in Bihar.
In light of the Bihar results, Prime Minister Narendra Modi asserted that this victory would invigorate BJP workers across Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala, West Bengal, and Assam, stating, “There is nothing BJP workers cannot achieve.”
BJP strategists are convinced that securing a considerable portion of SC votes in Tamil Nadu is crucial for the alliance to achieve significant progress in the 2026 elections.
In addition to existing allies such as Dr. Krishnasamy and John Pandian, senior BJP officials have reportedly instructed the party's Tamil Nadu leadership to initiate efforts to integrate more SC-based parties and organizations into the NDA.
Senior BJP representatives argue that while Dalit parties have emerged as influential political entities in states like Bihar, major Dravidian parties have historically obstructed these groups from gaining independent strength in Tamil Nadu.
They contend that even the VCK, led by Thirumavalavan, is “marginalized” within the DMK alliance due to limited seat allocations.
In this context, BJP leaders are said to have directed their Tamil Nadu unit to enhance outreach and raise awareness among Dalit communities, indicating the party’s intention to reshape the SC political landscape ahead of the 2026 elections.