What Does Fitch Ratings' Upgrade of Adani Ports and Energy Mean?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Fitch Ratings upgraded the outlook on Adani Ports and Adani Energy to ‘Stable’ from ‘Negative’.
- The Adani Group has shown strong access to diversified funding sources.
- APSEZ is the largest commercial port operator in India.
- Adani Energy is a significant player in power transmission and distribution.
- The upgrade reflects reduced contagion risks associated with ongoing investigations.
New Delhi, Nov 4 (NationPress) The globally recognized rating agency Fitch Ratings has updated its Outlook on Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited (APSEZ) and Adani Energy Solutions Limited (AESL) from ‘Negative’ to ‘Stable’. This change reflects the Adani Group's proven access to a variety of funding sources.
Fitch has reaffirmed the 'BBB-' ratings on Adani Electricity Mumbai Limited's (AEML) senior secured notes and those guaranteed by AESL, issued by its subsidiary, Adani Transmission Step-One Limited.
The Stable Outlook signifies Fitch's assessment of diminished contagion risks linked to APSEZ, as the Adani Group continues to show its ability to secure diverse funding, even in light of the November 2024 US indictment concerning certain board members of Adani Green Energy Limited, as noted by Fitch Ratings.
The Adani Group remains committed to ongoing investments, with capital expenditure increasing in the first half of the financial year ending March 2026 (FY26). Additionally, the Securities and Exchange Board of India ruled in September 2025 that the Adani Group had not breached regulatory disclosure standards or engaged in market manipulation as claimed in a 2023 short seller report.
Fitch indicated, “We anticipate that liquidity and funding will align with APSEZ's ratings, supported by financial flexibility arising from robust cash flows, underpinned by its diverse portfolio of seaports, adaptable capital expenditure flexibility, and proven access to credit markets.”
It further emphasized, “We assess the financial profile to be stronger than what is typically associated with APSEZ's 'BBB-' rating, limited by India's (BBB-/Stable) Country Ceiling of 'BBB-'. APSEZ enjoys geographically diversified port locations, superior intermodal connectivity, transportation infrastructure, and exceptional operational efficiency. The company maintains high customer retention for nearly half of its cargo due to its comprehensive and advanced infrastructure capable of managing various cargo types.”
APSEZ operates as India’s largest commercial port operator, managing a quarter of the nation's seaborne cargo across 15 operational ports and terminals, most of which serve as the primary ports of call in their respective areas.
The advanced infrastructure, operational efficiency, and integrated rail logistics of APSEZ have facilitated market share growth and throughput increases that surpass its competitors and the economic expansion of India.
Fitch Ratings has also upgraded the outlook for Adani Energy Solutions from Negative to Stable and confirmed its Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'BBB-'.
This outlook adjustment reflects Fitch's belief that contagion risks related to AESL and AEML have decreased.
Fitch perceives that the contagion risk stemming from US investigations has diminished for AESL and AEML, given their proven access to diverse funding sources since the allegations and the absence of a direct indictment.
The credit profiles of AESL and AEML benefit from a stable and favorable regulatory environment. Revenue streams from AEML's power transmission and distribution sectors, along with AESL's cost-plus tariff framework assets, provide long-term cash flow predictability and stability.
Fitch noted, “We believe AESL's tariff-based competitive bidding (TBCB) framework assets offer less protection than the cost-plus model and are subject to fluctuations in debt costs, yet minimal operational costs mitigate margin risk for TBCB assets.”
AESL ranks among India's largest private-sector power transmission and distribution firms, operating transmission projects across 14 Indian states and holding a 74.9% stake in AEML, a power transmission and distribution utility that serves 85% of Mumbai.