Why is the Night Temperature Plummeting in the Valley as J&K Records a 96% Rain Deficit in January?
Click to start listening
Synopsis
As Jammu and Kashmir faces a staggering 96% rain deficit in January, the Valley's night temperatures continue to plunge. This unusual weather pattern raises concerns for local agriculture and horticulture, especially regarding early blooming fruit trees that may not yield. Can the upcoming snowfall change the course of this challenging season?
Key Takeaways
- Jammu and Kashmir faces a 96% rain deficit this January.
- Minimum temperatures have dropped significantly, affecting local agriculture.
- Early blooms in fruit trees pose risks for growers.
- Forecasts predict snowfall from January 22 to 24.
- The horticulture sector is critical to the region's economy.
Srinagar, Jan 18 (NationPress) The minimum temperature once again dropped several degrees below zero in the Valley on Sunday, as Jammu and Kashmir experienced a staggering 96 percent rainfall deficit during the initial half of January, according to the Meteorological Department.
Officials from the Meteorological Department indicated that this alarming 96 percent rain deficit could lead to an early bloom in trees, which may not bear fruit due to the low temperatures anticipated in February and March.
This early flowering poses a substantial threat to fruit growers in the Valley, and without significant rain or snow, the local agricultural and horticultural sectors are likely to face severe challenges in recent years.
Contrary to popular belief, it is horticulture, rather than tourism, that forms the backbone of Kashmir's economy.
The harsh winter period known as 'Chillai Kalan' will conclude on January 30, and without a major snowfall, the summer months could be challenging due to potential water shortages for drinking and irrigation needs.
The Meteorological Department has issued forecasts for snowfall in both the higher elevations and plains of the Valley between January 22 and 24.
According to the officials, "A Western Disturbance will be active over J&K from January 22 to January 24, expected to bring rain and snow to Jammu and Kashmir, with the plains of the Valley likely to receive their first snowfall of the season."
Up until now, there has been no significant snowfall in the Valley, with Srinagar and other plains still awaiting their first snowfall of the season.
Local hopes are now pinned on this forecast.
Srinagar recorded a low of minus 4.7 degrees Celsius, while Gulmarg and Pahalgam logged minus 5.6 and minus 6 degrees Celsius, respectively.
Jammu city noted a minimum of 5.5 degrees Celsius, with Katra at 6.6 degrees Celsius, Batote at 3.7 degrees Celsius, Banihal at minus 2.4 degrees Celsius, and Bhaderwah at minus one degree Celsius.
The maximum temperatures reached 20.1 degrees Celsius in Jammu and 11.2 degrees Celsius in Srinagar on Saturday.
Point of View
It is crucial to highlight the severe impact of weather anomalies on local economies. Jammu and Kashmir’s horticultural sector, which is vital for the livelihoods of many, is facing unprecedented challenges due to a lack of rainfall. A proactive approach is required to mitigate these effects and ensure the sustainability of this key economic sector.
NationPress
18/01/2026
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current rainfall deficit in Jammu and Kashmir?
Jammu and Kashmir is experiencing a significant 96% rainfall deficit in January.
How does a rainfall deficit affect agriculture in the Valley?
A rainfall deficit can lead to early blooming in fruit trees, which may not mature properly, severely impacting local agriculture and horticulture.
When is snowfall expected in Jammu and Kashmir?
Snowfall is forecasted to occur between January 22 and 24 due to an active Western Disturbance.
What temperatures have been recorded in the Valley recently?
Srinagar recorded a minimum temperature of minus 4.7 degrees Celsius, while Gulmarg and Pahalgam noted minus 5.6 and minus 6 degrees Celsius, respectively.
What is Chillai Kalan?
Chillai Kalan is a 40-day period of harsh winter cold in Kashmir, lasting until January 30.
