India's Revised GDP Framework Enhances National Accounts Credibility
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New Delhi, Feb 27 (NationPress) As India continues its journey towards greater integration in global value chains, the government's initiative to update the base year every five years underscores its commitment to utilizing data-driven approaches for policy interventions amid global economic fluctuations, stated economists on Friday.
New calculations estimate real GDP at Rs 322.58 lakh crore for FY 2025-26, reflecting an increase from the First Revised Estimate (FRE) of Rs 299.89 lakh crore for 2024-25, projecting a GDP growth rate of 7.6 percent, an improvement over the 7.1 percent growth rate in FRE 2024-25.
Moreover, nominal GDP is projected at Rs 345.47 lakh crore for 2025-26, compared to Rs 318.07 lakh crore in 2024-25, indicating an 8.6 percent growth rate, according to PHDCCI President Rajeev Juneja.
Real GVA is set at Rs 294.40 lakh crore for 2025-26, up from Rs 273.36 lakh crore in FY 2024-25, showcasing a growth rate of 7.7 percent as opposed to 7.3 percent in 2024-25.
"The revamped GDP framework will significantly bolster the credibility and analytical value of India’s national accounts statistics. The revised methodology is anticipated to furnish policymakers, enterprises, and investors with a clearer understanding of economic dynamics across various sectors," he added.
The new series amalgamates diverse data sources including GST statistics, financial disclosures of publicly listed firms, transport metrics, and digital administrative records.
This extensive data collection is expected to enhance the accuracy of economic output, consumption, investment, and sectoral contributions, thereby positioning India for its next growth phase, Juneja noted.
Enhanced statistical methodologies will facilitate data-centric and evidence-based policymaking, ultimately aiding efficient economic planning.
"Foreign investors, whether institutional or not, interested in India’s growth narrative will regard this as trustworthy and internationally comparable data, which bodes well for augmenting India’s private capex-driven growth momentum," remarked PHDCCI CEO and SG, Dr Ranjeet Mehta.
According to ICRA Ltd's Chief Economist Aditi Nayar, manufacturing GVA impressively expanded by double digits for the fifth consecutive quarter in Q3 FY2026, while services GVA growth rose to a seven-quarter peak of 9.5 percent, up from 9.3 percent in the preceding quarter.
"ICRA currently assesses a heightened potential for a prolonged pause on the policy rate, given the expectations of a base-driven rise in CPI inflation in the near future," she mentioned.