Is FII Selling Affecting the Rupee While Domestic Flows Bolster Equities?

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Is FII Selling Affecting the Rupee While Domestic Flows Bolster Equities?

Synopsis

As foreign institutional investors continue to sell, the Indian rupee faces mounting pressure, while domestic investments support equity markets. Discover how these dynamics are shaping financial trends in India.

Key Takeaways

  • FIIs are selling off securities, impacting the rupee.
  • Domestic investments are supporting equity markets.
  • Rupee depreciation is higher than historical averages.
  • BFSI and automobile sectors demonstrate significant growth.
  • Trade deficits are improving, aiding external balance.

New Delhi, Dec 19 (NationPress) The steady selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) has put significant pressure on the Indian rupee during November, while domestic investments have buoyed equity markets and led to an increase in bond yields, as reported on Friday.

The analysis from JM Financial indicated that the rupee experienced a depreciation of approximately 6 percent in 2025, which is markedly higher than the historical average annual decline of around 3.5 percent, attributing this to FII outflows and uncertainties surrounding trade agreements with the US.

Furthermore, it emphasized the strong performance in sectors like Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) as well as the automobile industry.

According to the report, BFSI indicators displayed stable credit growth within the system, an uptick in deposit growth, and a rise in insurance premiums, while flows into asset management remained fairly consistent.

In addition to BFSI, the automobile sector noted a broad-based growth in wholesales year-on-year, although infrastructure orders showed signs of moderation, metal prices and steel volumes saw a sequential decline, and port cargo volumes increased at a slower rate compared to the prior month.

India's external balance has seen improvement as the merchandise trade deficit adjusted to $24.5 billion in November, down from a significant $42 billion deficit in October.

The report also remarked that the services surplus continued to support India's external balance.

Meanwhile, the bond markets have seemingly reached a conclusion on the rate-cutting cycle, with yields increasing despite the RBI's open market operations and a 25 basis-point policy cut in December.

Year-on-year, bank credit growth remained consistent at 11.5 percent, while deposit growth reached 10.2 percent YoY. The Marginal Cost of Funds-based Lending Rate (MCLR) for private banks reduced to 9.4 percent, whereas public sector banks maintained a flat MCLR at 8.8 percent.

Additionally, the report highlighted that wholesales in the automobile sector surged by 22.2 percent year-on-year, with commercial vehicle sales climbing by 26.6 percent in November.

Notably, in December, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) were net sellers during nine out of eleven trading days. A recent report from Bank of Baroda indicated that the rupee could experience continued volatility until a resolution with the US is reached, likely by March 2026.

Point of View

It is crucial to monitor the fluctuations in the rupee amidst FII selling. The resilience shown by domestic markets reflects a robust underlying economy, but ongoing negotiations with the US could dictate future trends. We must stay vigilant as these economic dynamics unfold.
NationPress
20/12/2025

Frequently Asked Questions

What is causing the depreciation of the Indian rupee?
The depreciation of the Indian rupee is primarily attributed to consistent selling by foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and uncertainties surrounding trade deals with the US.
How are domestic flows impacting equity markets?
Domestic flows have provided support to equity markets, helping to stabilize them despite the pressure from FII selling.
What sectors are showing growth in India?
The Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) sector, as well as the automobile industry, are showing robust growth.
Nation Press