Will the H-1B Visa Fee Increase Harm Indian IT Firms?

Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- US imposes a $1 million fee on new H-1B visas.
- Indian IT margins to drop by 10-20 bps.
- Revenue growth projected at 2-4 percent this fiscal year.
- Companies likely to pass costs to clients.
- Decline in reliance on H-1B visas noted.
New Delhi, Sep 25 (NationPress) The recent move by the US government to implement a $1 million fee on new H‑1B visas for foreign workers is anticipated to impact the operating margins of Indian IT services firms by merely 10 to 20 basis points in the upcoming fiscal year. According to a report released on Thursday, these companies are likely to transfer a portion of the costs to their clients.
Top IT exporters in India, which reported operating margins of around 22 percent last fiscal year, are forecasted to pass on between 30 to 70 percent of the additional costs to their customers, as indicated by a study from Crisil Intelligence.
The Indian IT services sector is projected to achieve revenues of $143-145 billion this fiscal year, reflecting a growth rate of 2-4 percent compared to the previous year, followed by a period of either marginal or stagnant growth.
The US government has clarified that this directive, effective from September 21, 2025, will not affect current H1B visa holders or their renewals, thereby minimizing its immediate impact.
Over the past few years, the dependency of IT firms on H-1B visas has been declining as companies have opted for offshore delivery, established nearshore centers, and increased local hiring in the US.
Data from the government shows a significant drop in the number of Indian employees holding H-1B visas at TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCL Technologies, decreasing from 34,507 to 17,997 between 2017 and 2025.
Employee expenses comprised 55-57 percent of sales for Indian IT firms last fiscal year, while visa-related costs accounted for only 0.02 to 0.05 percent of total employee expenses, with H1-B visa fees ranging from $2,000 to $5,000 per individual.
If the current job market trends persist, ICRA anticipates that the revised fee structure could increase visa costs to 1.0 percent of total employee expenses.
Major IT players like TCS, Infosys, Wipro, and HCL derive 96 percent of their revenues from international markets, with the US representing around 53 percent of that total.
India continues to lead as the top recipient of remittances, receiving $118.7 billion in fiscal 2024, with approximately 23 percent originating from the US.