Pat Cummins likely to miss first ODI vs South Africa in Durban amid workload management
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Australia's ODI captain Pat Cummins is reportedly set to sit out the series opener against South Africa in Durban on Thursday, 25 September, as the visitors prioritise careful workload management for their frontline pace attack ahead of a high-stakes Test series. According to a report by Cricinfo, the decision is part of a broader strategy to protect Cummins, Mitchell Starc, and Josh Hazlewood across the three-match ODI series.
Why Cummins Is Being Managed
Cummins arrived in South Africa later than fellow fast bowler Starc, signalling the intent to ease him into the tour. The upcoming Test series against South Africa carries crucial points in the race for the 2027 World Test Championship (WTC) final, making it a far higher priority than the ODI leg. Cummins had indicated last month that he might feature in as few as one ODI before the Test matches begin.
Both Cummins and Starc had already skipped Australia's ODI tour of Zimbabwe — which the visitors swept 3-0 — as part of the same management plan. With three ODIs compressed into seven days across Durban, Johannesburg, and Potchefstroom, team management is reportedly unlikely to push any of their Test quicks through the full schedule.
Likely Rotation Plan for the Pace Trio
According to reports, Hazlewood — who played just one game in Zimbabwe under similar management — could feature alongside Starc in the first and third ODIs, while Cummins may be reserved for the second match as his sole appearance. All-rounder Mitchell Marsh, who took over as ODI deputy following Steven Smith's retirement in 2025, is expected to lead the side in Thursday's opener whenever Cummins is rested.
Nathan Ellis Makes a Strong Case for Selection
Starc acknowledged that fast bowler Nathan Ellis has cemented his credentials as a regular ODI pick after a standout Zimbabwe series. 'I think he's grown into himself as a confident ODI bowler over the last few years, and it's great to see him get that reward in the series. He probably led the attack in the absence of Josh playing one game, Pat and I not over there, so really pushing his case as a lock as a pick in the one-day team, and no doubt he'll look to perform in these three as well,' Starc said after a training session.
Ellis's consistent form, however, creates a tactical puzzle. His role as a middle-overs and death-overs specialist closely mirrors that of Cummins himself, potentially complicating selection when all frontline quicks are available simultaneously.
Injury Concerns Further Stretch Squad Options
Australia's pace resources have been further thinned by injury. Billy Stanlake has been ruled out of the entire tour with a side strain, while Spencer Johnson has returned home to rest ahead of Australia A's 50-over matches in India, scheduled at Puducherry in October. All-rounder Jack Edwards has been drafted in as cover.
Cameron Green, who missed the Zimbabwe series with a shoulder issue, is reportedly being assessed. If cleared to play in Durban, his inclusion could trigger a middle-order reshuffle, with wicketkeeper-batter Alex Carey facing pressure to retain his place in the eleven.
The Bigger Picture: WTC Points on the Line
Australia's cautious approach underscores just how much the Test series matters. The South Africa Tests are a pivotal fixture in the WTC cycle, and arriving with a fully rested pace battery is seen as essential. Cummins is reportedly slated for similar management during Australia's ODI assignments against England in November and New Zealand next August, further indicating a long-term prioritisation of red-ball cricket. How Australia balance their ODI ambitions with Test preparation over the coming weeks will be closely watched by selectors and fans alike.