What Does India's Flash PMI of 59.9 in November Indicate About Future Economic Outlook?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- HSBC Flash India Composite Output Index stands at 59.9.
- Indicates strong private sector expansion.
- Manufacturing PMI shows slight easing but remains healthy.
- New export orders are stable, though overall new orders soft.
- Confidence levels among firms have decreased.
New Delhi, Nov 21 (NationPress) The HSBC Flash India Composite Output Index registered a notable 59.9 in November, revealing that survey participants are optimistic about the economic outlook for the upcoming year, according to data shared by S&P Global on Friday.
The HSBC Flash PMI for November signified a substantial increase in private sector output nationwide.
Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC, commented, "While the HSBC flash manufacturing PMI saw a slight decline, the overall operational conditions remain robust.
“New export orders increased in line with October's figures. However, the overall new orders showed a softer trend, suggesting that the GST-related boost may have reached its peak. Cost pressures significantly eased, as did prices charged,” Bhandari highlighted.
The HSBC Flash India Composite Output Index, a seasonally adjusted measure of the month-on-month changes in output from India's manufacturing and service sectors, remained well above the neutral threshold of 50.0 and its long-term average of 54.9, indicating a strong expansion rate.
Some manufacturers noted a decrease in new business in November. Meanwhile, the latest uptick in services activity surpassed last month’s performance, as per the report.
“Looking ahead, private sector firms in India anticipate output growth, bolstered by competitive pricing, marketing strategies, and recent capacity expansions. However, the overall confidence level dipped to its lowest since mid-2022 during November,” the report observed.
The recent 'flash' findings indicated a general reduction in inflationary pressures among manufacturers and service providers. Indian private sector companies reported no capacity constraints for the second consecutive month, with outstanding business volumes further declining in November. Nonetheless, only minor declines were recorded in both manufacturing and services firms.