Can Investors Increase Equity Allocation to 60–65% as Medium-Term Risk-Reward Improves?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Feb 16 (NationPress) As the medium-term risk-reward dynamics of Indian markets show signs of enhancement, investors with a taste for aggressive portfolios may contemplate an equity allocation of 60–65 percent. Meanwhile, more conservative investors might prefer a larger portion of fixed-income assets and maintain a tactical cash reserve of around 5 percent, according to a report released on Monday.
PL Wealth, the wealth management division of PL Capital, highlighted in the report that although Indian equity markets are currently in a consolidation phase, they continue to follow a strong structural trajectory, with medium-term risk-reward dynamics gradually improving.
The government's ongoing focus on infrastructure development, expansion of logistics, enhancing manufacturing competitiveness, and boosting digital capability in the Union Budget for FY27 indicates a long-term growth strategy rather than a transient cyclical stimulus, the firm noted.
The emphasis on capital expenditure is expected to improve corporate earnings visibility into FY27, especially in sectors linked to infrastructure, capital goods, defense manufacturing, electronics, and industrial supply chains, according to the report.
Over the medium term, sectors associated with infrastructure, defense, logistics, capital goods, and certain manufacturing themes are anticipated to remain well-supported. Export-oriented sectors such as engineering goods, textiles, and gems and jewelry could benefit from enhanced trade visibility and ongoing global supply chain adjustments, the report stated.
Global uncertainties, currency fluctuations, and adjustments in earnings have somewhat dampened short-term sentiment, amidst fiscal momentum, macro stability, and better investment visibility.
Investor positioning is expected to adapt dynamically to domestic policy signals and the evolving clarity surrounding India–US trade relations, which could impact export-driven and capital-intensive sectors. Investment preferences should shift towards companies with strong balance sheets, execution credibility, and sustainable earnings visibility, the firm advised.
“Currently, Indian markets are managing global volatility and undergoing an earnings recalibration phase, but the underlying domestic fundamentals remain strong,” stated Inderbir Singh Jolly, CEO of PL Wealth Management.
According to PL Wealth, sectors like financials, automobiles, industrials, and IT services have shown relative strength, while consumer-focused and select banking segments have encountered near-term challenges. As government spending accelerates and order inflows convert into revenue growth, a broader earnings recovery is anticipated into FY27, serving as the fundamental catalyst for a more sustained market uptrend, the firm projected.