Is Leadership Behind the Slow Revival of Terror Groups in Pakistan?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
New Delhi, Dec 16 (NationPress) The ISI has been making extensive efforts to reactivate the Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed. Following Operation Sindoor, these terrorist organizations, along with the Hizbul Mujahideen, suffered significant and humiliating defeats. This operation was executed by the Indian armed forces as a direct response to the Pahalgam attack.
According to intelligence officials, the ISI, in collaboration with the Pakistan army, is doing everything within its power to rejuvenate these groups, which have been incapacitated since the Indian operation. While launch pads have been established and training facilities have been reinstated, the most significant challenge they face is a lack of leadership.
Since Operation Sindoor, the heads of Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed, Hafiz Saeed and Masood Azhar, have been shifting between various locations. Intelligence assessments indicate that both figures have frequently moved to Rawalpindi, Karachi, and Lahore. Despite assurances of safety from the Pakistan establishment, both terror leaders are hesitant to appear publicly, as noted by intelligence officials. Indian agencies are closely monitoring the movements of both Saeed and Azhar.
There could be two underlying reasons for this constant relocation. Firstly, fear is a significant factor, as Operation Sindoor demonstrated the extent to which Indian forces could penetrate Pakistan. Secondly, this movement may serve as a tactic to confuse Indian agencies regarding their precise whereabouts. However, experts predominantly believe that fear is the primary reason for Saeed and Azhar's limited visibility.
In recent months, both Saeed and Azhar have canceled numerous meetings and public events. Previously, they were often seen without any concern for their safety, even regarded as heroes among their followers. However, this perception has shifted, and both leaders now prefer to remain underground out of fear of being targeted.
An official has revealed that their absence has prompted the ISI to revise its strategy. The agency aims to unify both groups under a single command, recognizing that operating independently would render both Jaish-e-Mohammed and Lashkar-e-Taiba appear weaker. While the ISI has the necessary infrastructure and funding to revive these organizations, the primary challenge remains the leadership vacuum, which has hindered operations and recruitment.
As the ISI looks to reintegrate the two groups into the mainstream while also searching for successors, it hasn't ceased constructing infrastructure. Indian intelligence has reported that Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed are expanding their facilities in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK).
Agencies have captured satellite images revealing extensive construction in PoK. While many facilities targeted during Operation Sindoor have been rebuilt, new structures are reportedly being erected at an accelerated pace. A substantial facility, believed to serve both as a religious site and a training center, is reportedly under construction in PoK, as per agency sources.
Officials report that, in addition to the religious center, four command centers are also being established in the area. This indicates the ISI's intention to relaunch comprehensive operations in PoK with the aim of targeting Jammu and Kashmir.
Nevertheless, the persistent issue of leadership remains, and officials in India contend that without the presence of Saeed and Azhar, these terror groups will struggle to initiate full-scale operations.