Crude oil prices surge up to 3% as US-Iran tensions spike after UAE nuclear plant attack
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Global crude oil prices extended sharp gains on Monday, 18 May as escalating US-Iran tensions stoked fears of major supply disruptions, following a drone strike on the Barakah nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates. The attack intensified an already volatile geopolitical standoff that has rattled energy markets for weeks.
How Far Prices Have Climbed
International benchmark Brent crude surged as much as 2.37 per cent, or $2.60, to $111.86 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed even sharper, advancing 3.11 per cent, or $3.28, to $108.70 per barrel. On domestic exchanges, crude oil futures for June 18 on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) traded at ₹9,978, up 3.02 per cent or approximately ₹300.
This follows a rally of more than 7 per cent in the preceding week alone, as hopes for a diplomatic settlement dimmed and military incidents multiplied around the Strait of Hormuz.
The Strike on Barakah and Regional Escalation
According to reports, UAE authorities confirmed they were investigating the origin of the strike on the Barakah nuclear power plant and asserted their right to respond to what they described as ‘terrorist attacks’. A fresh wave of drone strikes also targeted Saudi Arabia, compounding fears of a broader regional conflict. Escalating rhetoric from both Washington and Tehran has further unsettled markets.
Trump's Warning and the Xi Factor
US President Donald Trump signalled a markedly tougher stance on Iran, stating he had reached an understanding with Chinese President Xi Jinping that Tehran must not be permitted to develop nuclear weapons and must reopen the Strait of Hormuz. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump warned Iran that ‘the clock is ticking’ — a pointed signal of growing pressure amid stalled diplomatic efforts.
Why the Strait of Hormuz Is Central
Nearly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, making it a critical export artery for major producers including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Qatar. Any sustained disruption to the strait would send shockwaves through global energy supply chains, analysts note. This is not the first time the strait has been at the centre of a geopolitical standoff, but the current combination of nuclear brinkmanship and drone warfare marks a significant escalation in intensity.
Wider Market Impact
Asian equity markets traded mostly lower in response to the risk-off mood. Japan's Nikkei fell around 1 per cent and Hong Kong's Hang Seng declined over 1 per cent, while South Korea's KOSPI bucked the trend with a gain of nearly 1 per cent. Rising crude prices add inflationary pressure on oil-importing economies, with India — among the world's largest crude importers — particularly exposed to sustained price spikes.
With diplomatic channels between the US and Iran showing no immediate sign of reopening, energy markets are bracing for continued volatility in the sessions ahead.