Crude oil surges 4% near $80 as US-Iran military strikes escalate
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Global crude oil prices surged more than 4 per cent on Monday, 13 July, pushing Brent crude close to the $80-per-barrel mark after fresh rounds of US military strikes on Iran stoked fears of a prolonged supply disruption across the Middle East. The sharp rally reflects deepening anxiety over the security of one of the world's most critical energy corridors.
How Far Prices Moved
International benchmark Brent crude climbed more than 4 per cent, or $3.28, to trade near $80 per barrel. US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose 4.55 per cent, or $3.25, to $74.66 per barrel. The simultaneous jump in both benchmarks underscores how broadly the conflict risk is being priced into global energy markets.
The Strait of Hormuz Flashpoint
Iran reportedly claimed that the Strait of Hormuz — through which roughly 20 per cent of global oil trade passes — had been closed until further notice. The US Central Command (Centcom) rejected that assertion, stating it had conducted further strikes specifically to ensure freedom of navigation through the strategic waterway.
On Sunday, US forces used precision munitions to strike dozens of targets across multiple locations in Iran, according to Centcom. The operation marked the fourth round of US military action against Iran within a single week. Centcom said the strikes were launched in direct response to Iranian attacks on a Cyprus-flagged container vessel.
Ceasefire Collapses, Diplomacy Continues
Market sentiment deteriorated further after US President Donald Trump indicated that the interim ceasefire agreement and Memorandum of Understanding with Iran were effectively no longer valid, according to market experts. Diplomatic negotiations between the two nations are, however, reportedly continuing.
Reports also indicated that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) again targeted commercial shipping, prompting US forces to intercept an Iranian cruise missile and an attack drone. This cycle of strike and counter-strike has raised fears of a conflict that could spiral beyond the current theatre.
Wider Market Fallout
The geopolitical shock rippled across global financial markets. Asian indices traded sharply lower, with Nikkei, Hang Seng, and South Korea's KOSPI plunging up to 6 per cent. Closer to home, Indian equity markets also opened in the red, with both the Sensex and Nifty trading lower on Monday morning.
This comes amid a broader pattern of energy-market volatility tied to Middle East tensions — a dynamic that has repeatedly tested global supply chains over the past decade. With the Strait of Hormuz at the centre of the standoff, any sustained closure, even partial, could trigger supply shocks far beyond the immediate region.
What to Watch Next
Energy analysts and traders will closely track any official statements from Centcom and Tehran on the status of the Strait, as well as the trajectory of diplomatic back-channels. A further escalation — particularly any confirmed disruption to tanker traffic — could push Brent well above the $80 threshold. Conversely, a credible de-escalation signal could trigger a sharp reversal in oil prices.