Will FII Selling Decline as Domestic Buyers Surge?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- FIIs sold equities worth Rs 15,959 crore in December.
- DIIs purchased Rs 39,965 crore during the same period.
- Steady SIP inflows are crucial for market stability.
- Economic growth and earnings forecasts are promising.
- Market dynamics are influenced by FII and DII activities.
Mumbai, Dec 14 (NationPress) Analysts are predicting a reduction in foreign institutional investor (FII) selling in the upcoming days due to the robust performance of the economy, enhanced earnings growth outlook, and strong mutual fund SIPs. So far in December, FIIs have divested equities valued at Rs 15,959 crore through the exchanges.
This selling activity has been overshadowed by the domestic institutional investors (DIIs), who have made purchases totaling Rs 39,965 crore during the same timeframe, according to market analysts.
“Continuing to sell in India when growth and earnings potential are promising is not a long-term strategy,” noted Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Ltd.
A noteworthy trend among retail investors is the consistent inflow into mutual fund SIPs, which have remained above Rs 29,000 crore over the past three months.
In November, SIP inflows were nearly unchanged at Rs 29,445 crore, based on data from the Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI).
According to Vijayakumar, this trend has allowed the DIIs to mitigate the impact of the ongoing selling by FIIs.
“FIIs have been persistent sellers throughout December, but maintaining a high short position while facing robust SIP inflows will be challenging, especially given the positive economic climate and improving earnings forecasts,” he added.
Market analysts also emphasize that factors such as rupee depreciation, ongoing FII selling, delays in finalizing the US-India trade deal, and the ongoing AI trade represent temporary challenges for the markets.
In November, both FIIs and DIIs were net buyers in the Indian equity market, with purchases amounting to $40 million and $8.7 billion, respectively.
Over the past year, the Indian primary market has experienced FII net inflows of Rs 823 billion ($9.5 billion), while secondary markets noted FII net outflows of Rs 2,144 billion ($24.5 billion), as reported by JM Financial.
In November, India's weight in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index increased to 15.8%, up from 15.2% in October and 19.9% in November.
Analysts affirm that the crucial element influencing market direction will be earnings growth, which appears promising for FY27.