FPIs dump ₹45,536 crore in Sep equities; large-cap valuations turn attractive
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) offloaded a net ₹45,536 crore worth of equities in September 2026, emerging as heavy sellers in secondary markets even as they continued to deploy ₹9,676 crore through the primary market during the same period. The divergence underscores a sharp but selective retreat from Indian equities, not a wholesale exit, according to market analysts.
What Triggered the Sell-Off
The selling pressure was amplified by two global macro headwinds: the US 10-year bond yield surging past 5.2%, and concerns that crude oil prices could remain elevated for longer than anticipated. Both factors eroded the risk appetite that had briefly drawn FPIs back into Indian markets in July and August.
Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments Ltd, noted that sustained FPI selling had significantly weakened the Indian market, which witnessed eight consecutive weeks of losses. He added that poor monsoon rains — 13% below normal this year — had also weighed on investor sentiment.
Scale of Selling at Month-End
The selling accelerated sharply in the final days of September and spilled into October. Across the four sessions from 28 September to 1 October, provisional equity selling totalled approximately ₹34,965 crore, while settled equity selling for the corresponding period stood at roughly ₹27,962 crore. This concentrated month-end wave points to portfolio rebalancing rather than a routine drawdown.
DIIs Step In as a Counterweight
Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) provided a significant buffer against the FPI exodus. According to provisional NSE data, DIIs bought ₹76,030 crore in the cash equity market in September 2026 — more than offsetting total FPI equity sales. Sustained buying by DIIs and retail investors has, analysts say, prevented a more severe market correction.
Primary Market vs Secondary Market: What It Signals
Dheeraj Gaur, Chief Investment Strategy Officer at Choice Wealth, said the split between secondary-market selling and primary-market buying indicated that foreign investors are 'becoming much more selective about where they deploy capital, a trend likely to continue into October.' In other words, FPIs are reducing exposure to listed stocks while still participating in new issuances — a pattern that reflects caution, not abandonment.
Notably, the positive FPI flows seen in July and August — built on expectations of easing crude prices — have now reversed, confirming analysts' warnings that the inflows were a temporary positioning call rather than a structural shift.
What Comes Next
Analysts say a reversal of FPI outflows will require a combination of declining crude oil prices and a retreat in US bond yields. Near-term market direction is expected to hinge on FY27 second-quarter (Q2) corporate earnings, with companies reporting strong numbers and positive management commentary likely to attract selective buying. The sharp correction has, however, made valuations of large-cap stocks look more attractive, potentially offering a re-entry case if macro conditions stabilise.