India gas market reforms and infrastructure key to long-term demand: IGU
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
India's long-term natural gas demand growth hinges not just on expanding liquefied natural gas (LNG) import capacity, but critically on accelerating midstream infrastructure investment, overhauling gas pricing and market regulations, and stimulating consumption from gas-intensive industries, according to a new report by the International Gas Union (IGU) released on 26 July.
Infrastructure Gap Holding Back Growth
The IGU report notes that while India has made measurable strides in scaling up LNG regasification terminal capacity, investment in transmission and distribution infrastructure has not kept pace. This mismatch is directly constraining the country's ability to grow natural gas consumption. Reforms to pricing mechanisms, market access rules, and commercial frameworks are identified as critical enablers for sustained demand growth.
Hormuz Crisis Exposes Supply Chain Vulnerability
The report flags that the recent Strait of Hormuz crisis has sharply underscored India's exposure to energy supply chain disruptions. India relies heavily on LNG and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) imports from the Gulf region, with Qatar remaining its primary LNG supplier. A substantial share of India's LPG imports also originates from the region, and much of these shipments transit through the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz. The disruption to energy shipments during the Iran conflict exposed the real risks embedded in this dependence.
Domestic Production Meets Only Half of Demand
According to the report, domestic natural gas production currently meets only around 50–52 per cent of India's total natural gas demand. The remaining requirement is fulfilled through LNG imports from Qatar, Australia, the United States, and Russia. India's import dependence is even more pronounced for LPG, with approximately 60–65 per cent of domestic demand met through overseas purchases — despite India being among the world's largest LPG consumers.
Medium-Term Outlook: Lower Prices Could Help
The IGU report suggests the medium- to long-term outlook could improve if tensions in the Gulf region ease. A significant wave of new LNG export capacity is expected to come online through the remainder of the decade, which is likely to keep global LNG markets well supplied and exert downward pressure on prices. This, in turn, could improve the economics of gas consumption in India. Notably, weaker demand from other Asian markets following the recent price shock could further accelerate declines in regional LNG benchmark prices, offering India additional pricing relief.
What Needs to Happen Next
For India to fully capitalise on a more favourable global LNG supply environment, the report argues that domestic structural reforms cannot be deferred. Expanding pipeline networks, reforming the regulatory framework for gas marketing, and building stronger industrial demand bases are the levers that will determine whether India converts supply-side opportunity into lasting consumption growth. The coming years will be a critical window.