Will the Indian IT Sector's Revenue Grow 4 to 5% in FY27?

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Will the Indian IT Sector's Revenue Grow 4 to 5% in FY27?

Synopsis

The Indian IT sector is set for a revenue growth recovery of 4-5% in FY27, according to a recent HSBC report. This anticipated growth could lead to high-single-digit EPS growth while IT stocks may align with broader market trends. Discover the insights shaping this sector's future and what it means for investors.

Key Takeaways

  • Projected revenue growth of 4-5% for the Indian IT sector in FY27.
  • IT stocks have risen by 15% but may align with broader market trends.
  • Expectations for high-single-digit EPS growth.
  • Greater cyclicality in IT stocks requires active management.
  • Positive sentiments from IT industry clients about spending.

New Delhi, Jan 5 (NationPress) The revenue growth of the Indian IT sector is projected to rebound to 4-5 percent in FY27, which is anticipated to lead to high-single-digit EPS growth, according to a report published on Monday.

The analysis by HSBC Global Investment Research indicates that while IT stocks have risen by approximately 15 percent from their lows, their performance in 2026 might align more closely with the overall market trends.

"The outlook shows signs of improvement, yet we now predict the IT sector to be in sync with the broader market in FY27. This sector is no longer characterized by long-term double-digit growth, as its long-term stock return trajectory has softened compared to previous years," stated the research firm.

The report anticipates that IT stocks will exhibit greater cyclical behavior, necessitating active management of leading companies amid their cycles and volatility. It also noted that a potential cyclical upswing in CY26 or FY27 could provide additional momentum for IT stocks, building on their recent performance.

3QFY26 was noted to have been affected by weak seasonal performance and is unlikely to present any positive surprises, reflecting mixed signals at the company level.

“Our initial expectations were for IT to outperform the market in 2026, driven by anticipated growth improvements, more favorable valuations, a beneficial base following three years of sluggish growth, and a moderation of the sector's AI concerns,” explained Yogesh Aggarwal, Head of Research at HSBC India.

IT stocks experienced gains of around 15-20 percent from October to December 2025, contrasting with a 6 percent return on Nifty, thus accounting for a significant portion of the expected fundamental improvements in CY2026 or FY27.

The report also highlighted feedback from IT industry clients indicating growing confidence in the business outlook, leading to a higher likelihood of increased IT spending.

Additionally, it pointed out the visibility of the deflationary effects of AI on IT services, with monetization of AI for profitable business deals becoming increasingly attainable.

Motilal Oswal Financial Services expressed a positive outlook for IT services in the medium term, as global technology expenditures are forecasted to gradually recover amid stabilizing macroeconomic conditions and a heightened focus on digital transformation, AI, and efficiency-led initiatives.

Point of View

The insights on the Indian IT sector's projected growth reflect a cautious optimism. While the sector shows signs of recovery, it's crucial for stakeholders to adapt to the evolving market dynamics. The anticipated alignment with broader market trends suggests a need for strategic planning among investors, ensuring they remain informed and agile in response to market fluctuations.
NationPress
06/01/2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the projected revenue growth for the Indian IT sector in FY27?
The Indian IT sector's revenue is expected to grow by 4-5% in FY27.
How have IT stocks performed recently?
IT stocks have increased by about 15% from their lows, but may perform in line with the broader market in 2026.
What is the impact of AI on the IT sector?
The report highlights the deflationary impact of AI on IT services and emphasizes the potential for monetization of AI-driven deals.
What factors are influencing the IT sector's growth?
Factors such as improved company-level signals, a favorable valuation base, and a focus on digital transformation are influencing growth.
What is the outlook for global technology spending?
Global technology spending is expected to recover gradually, supported by stabilizing macro conditions and a focus on efficiency and AI.
Nation Press