South Korea GDP grows 1.8% in Q1 2025, fastest pace in over 5 years
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
South Korea's economy expanded at its fastest quarterly pace in more than five years during the January–March 2025 period, with real gross domestic product (GDP) rising 1.8 percent quarter-on-quarter — 0.1 percentage point above the preliminary estimate. The upward revision, confirmed by the Bank of Korea (BOK) on Tuesday, 9 June, was driven by stronger-than-expected facility investment and private consumption data.
Strongest Growth Since 2020
The 1.8 percent quarterly expansion is the highest since the third quarter of 2020, when South Korea's economy grew 2.3 percent amid a post-pandemic rebound. On a year-on-year basis, GDP surged 3.8 percent in the first quarter — a sharp acceleration from the 1.6 percent on-year growth recorded in the fourth quarter of 2024, and the strongest annual reading since the fourth quarter of 2021.
This comes after the economy contracted 0.1 percent on-quarter in the fourth quarter of 2024, weighed down by sluggish manufacturing. The first-quarter rebound signals a meaningful reversal of that trend.
What Drove the Expansion
Exports were the primary engine of growth, advancing 5.9 percent from the previous quarter — the highest quarterly export growth since the third quarter of 2020 — underpinned by robust global demand for semiconductors, machinery, and automobiles. Net exports contributed 1.1 percentage points to overall quarterly growth.
On the investment side, facility investment surged 6.6 percent, the strongest gain in four years, while construction investment rose 1.4 percent. Domestic demand as a whole contributed 0.7 percentage points to first-quarter growth. Private consumption grew a modest 0.6 percent, though government spending contracted 0.4 percent.
Upward Revision Explained
Kim Hwa-yong, director of the production, expenditure and income division at the BOK, told reporters at a press conference: 'A 0.1 percentage point gain in the first-quarter GDP is projected to increase the annual growth by 0.1 percentage point. This change is expected to be reflected on the central bank's revised growth forecast to be released in August.'
The BOK attributed the revision to updated statistics on facility investment and private consumption that were incorporated into the final figures.
Nominal GDP Hits Historic High
On a nominal basis, South Korea's GDP surged 10.5 percent from the previous quarter — the sharpest nominal expansion since the first quarter of 1976, when the economy grew 13 percent. Year-on-year, nominal GDP spiked 17.1 percent, reflecting both real growth and price-level changes.
What to Watch Next
The BOK is scheduled to release its revised annual growth forecast in August 2025, which will incorporate the first-quarter upgrade. Analysts will be watching whether export momentum — particularly in semiconductors — holds through the second quarter amid evolving global trade conditions. As Asia's fourth-largest economy, South Korea's performance carries broad regional significance for supply chains and tech-sector outlooks.