Will Sensex Reach 94,000 by 2026? Experts Say Worst is Over for Indian Equities!
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- Projected Sensex target of 94,000 by the end of 2026.
- Incremental foreign inflows expected.
- Indian equities seen as a hedge against global AI trends.
- Potential for earnings recovery in 2026.
- Valuations are more attractive compared to Chinese equities.
Mumbai, Nov 7 (NationPress) - The outlook for Indian equities is shifting positively, with expectations of increased foreign investments and recent market trends indicating that the most challenging period may have concluded. This scenario opens up opportunities for diversifying investments away from the global AI surge, according to a report released on Friday.
HSBC Global Investment Research states, "We maintain an optimistic stance on Indian equities from the Asia perspective, forecasting an index target for the Sensex at 94,000 by the end of 2026."
After lagging behind Asia by 30 percent over the last year, the report suggests that the toughest times for Indian equities are behind us, justifying its upgrade to an optimistic view on India.
According to Herald van der Linde, CFA and Head of Equity Strategy for Asia Pacific, Indian equities currently represent the largest underweight in global emerging market portfolios, with only 25 percent of tracked funds showing an overweight position in India.
"Investing in India can provide a hedge and diversification for those wary of the current AI growth. The country stands to gain significantly from any influx of capital into the emerging markets," the report stated.
Moreover, any potential reduction in US tariffs could serve as a substantial advantage. However, risks associated with this upgrade include delays in earnings recovery, a shift of global investments into the AI sector, and reduced domestic interest in equities, the report cautioned.
The research highlighted that "current valuations are not as much of an obstacle as they were a year ago," noting that the Indian market presents better value when compared to Chinese equities.
“We believe earnings in India have reached their lowest point, and anticipate a widespread recovery in 2026. The banking sector has significantly hindered growth this year, but as deposits are renewed, profit margins are expected to improve in the upcoming quarters,” the report elaborated.
Furthermore, the technology sector is likely to see a surge in demand. Consumer sectors, including automobiles, are set to benefit from reductions in GST, lower inflation rates, and decreased interest rates, it emphasized.