Sensex falls 161 points, Nifty at 23,643 as crude oil surge hits markets
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Indian benchmark equity indices closed in the red on Friday, 15 May, as a sharp rally in global crude oil prices and a weakening rupee triggered late-session selling across energy-sensitive and metal sectors. The BSE Sensex declined 160.73 points, or 0.21%, to settle at 75,237.99, while the Nifty50 shed 46.10 points, or 0.19%, to close at 23,643.50.
What Drove the Selloff
The primary trigger was a surge in global crude prices, with Brent crude's May futures contract climbing 2.9% to $108.8 per barrel on the Intercontinental Exchange. The spike raised concerns about rising fuel costs, imported inflation, and pressure on corporate margins — particularly in energy-intensive industries.
Compounding the pressure, the Indian rupee plunged to a fresh record low of 96.14 against the US dollar before settling at 95.97, driven by a widening trade deficit and a sudden short squeeze following the breach of the 96 level. A weaker rupee amplifies import costs, adding to inflationary concerns already stoked by elevated oil prices.
Sectoral Performance
Among the top laggards on the Nifty were Hindalco Industries, Eternal, and UltraTech Cement. Sectorally, the Nifty Metal, Nifty Realty, and Nifty Oil and Gas indices were the worst-hit segments of the session.
Broader markets also came under pressure, with the Nifty MidCap index ending 0.45% lower and the Nifty SmallCap index falling 0.61%. However, buying interest in technology and media counters provided a partial cushion, with the Nifty IT and Nifty Media indices managing to close in positive territory.
Technical Outlook
Analysts tracking the Nifty noted that a sustained breakout above the current zone will be necessary to reinforce bullish momentum and push the index toward the 23,900–24,000 range. On the downside, the 23,500–23,400 band remains a critical immediate support level. 'A decisive break below this region could drag the index toward the 23,300–23,200 support area,' an analyst noted.
On the currency front, analysts placed spot USDINR support at 95.45, with resistance seen at 96.20 and 96.85.
What to Watch
Markets will closely monitor crude oil trajectory and any fresh developments on the trade deficit front. Sustained crude above $108 per barrel could keep energy and logistics costs elevated, squeezing margins across manufacturing and consumption sectors. A further rupee slide past the 96.20 resistance level would likely amplify the bearish sentiment heading into next week.