12 nations mark 10 years of South China Sea ruling, back free Indo-Pacific
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Twelve nations, led by the United States, on 12 July 2025 jointly reaffirmed their commitment to a 'free and open Indo-Pacific' and the rules-based international order, marking the 10th anniversary of the landmark 2016 arbitral tribunal ruling that invalidated China's expansive maritime claims in the South China Sea. The joint statement signals a coordinated diplomatic push to keep the decade-old ruling in the international spotlight as tensions in the waterway persist.
The Joint Statement and Its Signatories
The governments of the United States, Australia, Canada, Estonia, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, New Zealand, the Philippines, Romania, Slovenia, and the United Kingdom signed the statement. Together, they reaffirmed their 'unwavering commitment to maintaining a free and open Indo-Pacific that is peaceful, stable, and rules-based, anchored in international law.'
The statement described the 12 July 2016 decision by the Arbitral Tribunal — constituted under Annex VII of the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) — as a 'landmark and unanimous decision' on the South China Sea. The twelve governments declared the award 'final, legally binding, and definitive between China and the Philippines with respect to the maritime entitlements and claims addressed by the Arbitral Tribunal.'
Key Findings Reaffirmed
The signatories reiterated the tribunal's core finding: that 'there is no legal basis for China's expansive maritime claims in the South China Sea, including those based on historic rights.' They also underscored 'the importance of upholding freedom of navigation and overflight, as well as other internationally lawful uses of the sea, as reflected in UNCLOS.'
The statement expressed concern over actions that could undermine regional stability, though it stopped short of citing specific incidents. 'We reiterate our strong opposition to any destabilising or unilateral actions including by force or coercion that threaten peace and stability in the region,' it read.
Opposition to Maritime Coercion
The governments went further, reaffirming 'strong opposition to the use of coast guard, military, and maritime militia forces to harass, obstruct, or intimidate lawful operations by other States at sea or in the air.' The statement noted that such actions 'endanger the safety of personnel and fishermen and seriously degrade regional peace and security' — language widely read as directed at China's conduct in disputed waters.
All parties were urged 'to abide by the 2016 Award and resolve disputes peacefully through dialogue and other lawful mechanisms in accordance with international law.'
Background: The 2016 Ruling and China's Response
On 12 July 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague ruled overwhelmingly in favour of the Philippines in a case filed under UNCLOS. The tribunal found that China's claims rooted in so-called 'historic rights' had no legal standing under international law. Beijing rejected the ruling outright and has continued to assert its position, even as the US and several allies have consistently called for adherence to the decision.
The South China Sea is one of the world's most heavily trafficked maritime trade routes, claimed in whole or in part by China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan. Competing claims have triggered repeated confrontations between coast guard and naval vessels, cementing the waterway's status as a major strategic flashpoint in the Indo-Pacific.
ASEAN and the Road Ahead
Reaffirming support for ASEAN's regional vision, the twelve nations said they remained 'steadfast in our support for a free and open Indo-Pacific' and reiterated their shared goal of seeing the South China Sea become 'a sea of peace, stability, cooperation, and prosperity driven by vibrant lawful commerce.' Whether this anniversary statement translates into more coordinated operational posture — or remains a diplomatic signal — will be closely watched in the months ahead.