Pakistan Army targets mineral-rich provinces with emergency rule plans
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Pakistan Army chief Field Marshal Asim Munir is reportedly using the imposition of emergency and Governor's rule in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) as a blueprint to seize control over mineral-rich regions across Pakistan, according to officials and analysts who track the country's civil-military dynamics. The move has triggered widespread protests in KP and raised alarm among political observers about a broader strategy to sideline elected governments in resource-wealthy provinces.
KP Emergency: The Test Case
The Pakistan federal government justified the emergency in KP on grounds of deteriorating law and order. However, analysts describe this as a pretext. According to Pakistan watchers, Field Marshal Munir wanted the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) government removed from KP, and emergency rule was the most direct instrument available. Beyond politics, the move hands the army unobstructed control over the province's significant mineral wealth — including gemstones, marble, granite, gypsum, soapstone, high-grade limestone, and rare minerals from the Zagi Mountain range.
Notably, KP is being treated as a test run, according to officials cited in reports. The army's next moves reportedly hinge on how smoothly the KP takeover unfolds.
The Mineral Map Driving the Strategy
The strategic calculus, according to these accounts, is rooted in Pakistan's vast and largely untapped mineral reserves distributed across its provinces. Balochistan holds copper, gold, chromite, coal, and iron. Sindh is rich in coal, Fuller's Earth, silica sand, and limestone. Gilgit-Baltistan contains precious and semi-precious stones along with quartz. Punjab holds rock salt, iron ore, limestone, and fire clay. Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) is reportedly home to world-class rubies, rare blue sapphire, green tourmaline, aquamarine, garnet, zircon, bauxite, white marble, gypsum, granite, quartz, and bentonite.
An official said that barring KP, no other province is currently under emergency rule. However, resistance from both local governments and communities to mineral extraction remains significant across several regions.
Emergency as a Tool of Resource Extraction
According to officials, emergency powers would make the Governor the supreme authority in a province. With a compliant figure installed at the helm, the establishment could, critics argue, extract minerals at will and suppress dissent through force. The most likely candidates for the next phase of this strategy are reportedly Balochistan, followed by PoK and Sindh. Punjab, which faces the least resistance, is said to be earmarked for a different approach altogether.
Smaller Provinces: Fragmenting Political Opposition
In a parallel strategy, another official said Field Marshal Munir is also discussing plans to carve out smaller provinces from existing ones — starting with Punjab and Sindh. The creation of a separate South Punjab province has long been a regional demand, justified by arguments about inadequate political representation and underfunding. The army is reportedly preparing to champion this cause.
On the surface, subdividing provinces may appear to promise better governance. In practice, however, analysts warn it would fragment the electoral base of dominant parties. The Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) has governed Sindh continuously since 2008, while Punjab has historically been the stronghold of the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N). Smaller provinces would dilute this dominance, leaving these parties with reduced territory and reduced influence — while the army gains greater leverage to make unilateral decisions over regional resources.
Balochistan and PoK: A Different Scale of Resistance
For Balochistan and PoK, the emergency model is expected to be extended directly. Officials say that in these regions, resistance to state-led extraction goes well beyond electoral politics and is deeply embedded in local communities. Only emergency powers, according to these accounts, would give the army the coercive authority it needs to proceed. This comes amid an already volatile situation in Balochistan, where separatist sentiment and protests against resource exploitation have persisted for years.
How Pakistan's civil society, judiciary, and international partners respond to the unfolding KP emergency will likely shape the pace and scale of the army's reported broader ambitions.