Pakistan's water crisis rooted in mismanagement, not India: Report
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Pakistan's chronic water shortages in the Indus Basin stem primarily from domestic mismanagement rather than any actions by India, according to a detailed report published in the Liberia-based daily The New Dawn. The analysis, authored by Kushvinder Vohra — Former Chairman of the Central Water Commission, ex-officio Secretary to the Government of India, and Former Indian Commissioner Indus — argues that Pakistan will continue to face water insecurity until it undertakes sweeping reforms in water resource management.
What the Data Shows
According to Vohra, Pakistan receives approximately 140 Million Acre Feet (MAF) of water annually in the Indus Basin from western rivers — already exceeding the 135 MAF estimated at the time the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) was signed in 1960. Of this, only about 104 MAF is diverted for irrigation use. The remainder, Vohra noted, 'is either wasted in the system or goes to sea.'
On eastern rivers, flows have reportedly declined by around 15 per cent from the 33 MAF assessed at the Treaty's inception. Vohra questioned why Pakistan continues to direct rhetoric at India when the core issue lies within its own borders.
World Bank Findings on Pakistan's Water Governance
A World Bank Group study titled 'Pakistan — Getting More from Water' — with data updated to September 2018 — assessed Pakistan's water security outlook through 2047. The report found that Pakistan is relatively well-endowed with water resources, with only 16 countries globally having more. However, it flagged that per-capita availability is constrained given Pakistan's status as the sixth most populous country in the world.
The World Bank study identified several structural failings: poor water data governance, weak planning frameworks, pollution, over-exploitation of groundwater, low water productivity, and inadequate flood and drought forecasting systems. Over 90 per cent of Pakistan's water is consumed by the agriculture sector, making efficiency improvements critical.
Storage Deficit and Agricultural Vulnerability
Pakistan's water storage capacity stands at just 15 per cent of annual river flow, allowing the country to store only approximately 30 days worth of water. Experts cited in the report warn that without substantial investment in storage infrastructure, Pakistan will be unable to achieve reliable Rabi (winter crop) irrigation — a direct threat to food security.
This comes amid a broader pattern: Pakistan has consistently objected to hydroelectric projects in India, all of which are reportedly permitted under the IWT, rather than directing that energy toward domestic infrastructure development.
The Indus Waters Treaty and India's Abeyance Decision
Following the terror attack in Jammu and Kashmir's Pahalgam in April 2025, India placed the Indus Waters Treaty in abeyance, exercising what it described as its rights as a sovereign nation under international law. India has maintained that the Treaty will remain in abeyance until Pakistan credibly and irrevocably ends its support for cross-border terrorism.
Critics argue that Pakistan's continued framing of its water crisis as India-induced serves a political purpose — deflecting from accountability failures at home. 'Could this be a deliberate agenda to always blame India and play the victim card to divert attention from the real issue that is mismanagement of water resources in Pakistan?' Vohra wrote.
The Path Forward, According to Experts
Vohra outlined a comprehensive reform agenda for Pakistan, stating: 'No amount of water flow can help Pakistan unless it works on Integrated Water Resource Management by improving their systems, crop water productivity, groundwater management, storages, agricultural practices, institutional reforms, monitoring systems, use of modern technology etc and resolving inter-provincial disputes.'
He added that public discourse within Pakistan on these structural issues is 'barely taking place,' and that 'hiding the real issues and focusing on imaginary issues by blaming India is not going to be helpful.' Analysts suggest that resolving inter-provincial water disputes — a long-standing fault line within Pakistan — is as critical as any external diplomatic engagement.