US secures 35% stake in Venezuela oil deal to counter China, Russia
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The United States has secured a 35 per cent equity stake in a Venezuelan oil venture without committing federal funds, gaining access to fields holding approximately 65 billion barrels of proven reserves under an agreement designed to curb Chinese and Russian influence in the Western Hemisphere, a senior US official confirmed on 1 September.
Key Terms of the Agreement
Under the deal, Washington secures 20 per cent of production at cost price and retains the right of first refusal over the remaining 80 per cent of output. The equity holding has been structured through the Office of Strategic Capital at the Department of War, with a second official noting the transaction falls within statutory powers granted to the office during the Biden administration.
The agreement also sets a royalty ceiling of up to 30 per cent for Venezuela and a hydrocarbon tax of up to 15 per cent, according to the official.
Washington's Geopolitical Calculus
'It was an opportunity, a geopolitical opportunity to secure fields that primarily had largely been under the influence of Chinese and Russian companies and allow them to instead be aligned with the United States and to our long-term interest,' the senior official said.
The administration views the arrangement as part of a broader strategy to ensure a stable energy supply and draw Caracas away from Moscow and Beijing. Notably, China had extended oil-backed loans to Venezuela while Russia provided both energy investment and political backing to successive governments under Hugo Chavez and Nicolas Maduro. This deal represents Washington's most direct counter-move yet to that entrenched influence.
Private Investment and Production Recovery
The agreement is expected to unlock at least USD 100 billion in private capital, which the administration argues is essential to restoring Venezuela's severely degraded production capacity. US Energy Secretary Wright is expected to lead a delegation to Venezuela, where Chevron will announce an expansion of its existing operations. Several smaller deals have reportedly already been concluded, with more anticipated in the coming weeks.
The official was clear that the US does not plan to routinely exercise its right of first refusal, but described the provision as 'a long-term insurance policy' in the event of an energy emergency. A future administration could also deploy the 20 per cent cost-price supply to replenish strategic reserves or generate federal revenue.
Democratic Transition Runs Parallel
Venezuela holds the world's largest proven crude oil reserves, but decades of underinvestment, corruption, international sanctions, and operational neglect have slashed output far below levels seen before the Chavez era. The state oil company, Petroleos de Venezuela, remains the primary source of government revenue despite its diminished capacity.
Washington has framed the oil recovery and a proposed democratic transition as parallel tracks. A third round of political talks is expected in September, though the official declined to specify an election timetable. 'We want to see it happen as soon as possible. But we also want to make sure the conditions are right because our interest here is not just having an election. It's having an election that leads to an enduring republic,' the official said.
The administration's argument is that rebuilding the oil sector ahead of elections would give any eventual democratic government a functioning revenue base rather than an economy in freefall — a sequencing that critics may contest but which Washington is firmly committed to for now.