Could the Bangladeshi Muslim Population Surpass 40% in Assam's Upcoming Census?

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Could the Bangladeshi Muslim Population Surpass 40% in Assam's Upcoming Census?

Synopsis

In a striking statement, Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma claims that the upcoming Census may reveal that the Bangladeshi Muslim population in Assam could rise to nearly 40%. This demographic shift has significant implications for the state's socio-political landscape.

Key Takeaways

CM Sarma's claim: Bangladeshi Muslims may reach 40% in Assam's next Census.
2011 Census data: Muslims made up 34.22% of Assam's population.
Upcoming Census: Scheduled for April to September 2026 and February 2027.
Electoral roll revisions: BJP instructed to flag doubtful voters.
Political implications: Potential shifts in voting demographics.

Guwahati, Jan 8 (NationPress) Assam's Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma has once again expressed his concerns that changes in the state's demographics might significantly affect its population structure. He claimed that the number of Bangladeshi Muslims could constitute almost 40 percent of Assam's population in the next Census.

During a press interaction following a governmental event, CM Sarma stated that the upcoming Census is likely to unveil some 'unfortunate news' for Assam, suggesting that the population of Muslims with Bangladeshi roots has been on the rise for many years.

"The Census will show that the population of Bangladeshi Muslims may reach approximately 40 percent of the state's total population," he mentioned.

He recalled a warning he issued last July, predicting that if the current growth rates persist, the Muslim demographic in Assam could nearly equal the Hindu population by 2041.

According to the 2011 Census, Assam's total population stood at 3.12 crore, with Muslims numbering 1.07 crore, representing 34.22 percent, while Hindus accounted for 1.92 crore, or 61.47 percent.

The national Census, initially set for 2021 but postponed due to the Covid-19 pandemic, is now planned to occur in two stages. The house listing and housing Census is scheduled from April to September 2026, followed by population enumeration in February 2027.

CM Sarma also addressed the ongoing Special Intensive Revision of electoral rolls in Assam, noting that all BJP MLAs and booth-level agents have been instructed to identify any 'doubtful person' through the appropriate legal channels.

"We aim to ensure that questionable Miya Muslim votes are recognized and eliminated. Our MLAs and Booth Level Agents have been directed to formally raise objections," he stated.

Rejecting claims from the Opposition that voters opposing the BJP are being selectively removed from the rolls, CM Sarma asserted that any political party feeling that eligible voters are excluded should approach the authorities with the relevant forms, rather than holding press conferences.

In a critical remark directed at the Congress party, CM Sarma declared that the party has lost its prominence in Assam.

"Which indigenous person, except for illegal Bangladeshis, would vote for Congress?" he questioned.

He further claimed that the Opposition would have minimal influence in the upcoming state Assembly elections scheduled for March–April 2026, stating that they are not active at the grassroots level.

Regarding seat-sharing for the forthcoming Assam elections, the Chief Minister noted that the BJP would finalize its decision by February 15.

Point of View

It's critical to highlight the importance of demographic trends in shaping political landscapes. CM Sarma's statements underscore ongoing debates about identity and representation in Assam. While these concerns are valid, it is crucial to approach them with empirical data and a commitment to inclusivity.
NationPress
12 May 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the estimated Bangladeshi Muslim population in Assam as per the next Census?
Assam's Chief Minister has estimated that the Bangladeshi Muslim population could reach nearly 40% in the upcoming Census.
When is the next Census scheduled to take place?
The house listing and housing Census will occur between April and September 2026, followed by population enumeration in February 2027.
What was the Muslim population percentage in Assam as per the 2011 Census?
According to the 2011 Census, Muslims comprised 34.22% of Assam's population.
How does CM Sarma view the impact of the rising Muslim population?
CM Sarma believes that the rising Muslim population may lead to significant changes in Assam's demographic and political landscape.
What actions are being taken regarding electoral rolls in Assam?
BJP MLAs and booth-level agents have been directed to identify and challenge any 'doubtful person' within the electoral rolls.
Nation Press
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