BJP eyes record Lok Sabha seats in East, Northeast in 2029, says Himanta Biswa Sarma
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma on Monday, 22 June declared that eastern and northeastern India will be decisive in the 2029 Lok Sabha elections, asserting that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on course to win a record number of parliamentary seats from these regions. Sarma made the remarks at the Republic Media Summit in New Delhi.
What Sarma Said
'The eastern and northeastern states will deliver a decisive number of seats in the upcoming 2029 general elections. The BJP will win a record number of seats from these regions, and this part of India will play a crucial role in ensuring the party's victory,' Sarma said at the summit.
He further argued that political and economic integration across the two regions is creating a new growth corridor. 'Today, the entire eastern and northeastern region is coming together. We are integrating politically and economically, and this emerging unity will have a significant impact on India's future,' he added.
The Electoral Weight of the Two Regions
The Northeast comprises eight states that together send 25 members to the Lok Sabha. Eastern India — covering West Bengal, Odisha, Bihar, and Jharkhand — contributes approximately 117 seats. Combined, the two regions account for roughly 142 of the 543 seats in the lower house, making them a critical theatre in any national electoral contest.
BJP's Track Record in the Region
The BJP has steadily expanded its footprint across the Northeast over the past decade and currently participates in ruling alliances in most states there. In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) secured a majority of seats from the Northeast, with the BJP retaining dominance in Assam specifically.
Notably, Sarma's comments come as the BJP intensifies its organisational efforts in West Bengal ahead of the 2026 Assembly elections. In the 2021 West Bengal Assembly polls, the BJP emerged as the principal opposition, winning 77 seats — a sharp jump from just 3 seats in 2016.
Why This Matters
The BJP's pivot toward eastern and northeastern India reflects a broader strategic calculation: with competition intensifying in traditional strongholds, consolidating the 142-seat bloc could prove decisive in determining who forms the next government. Critics, however, note that translating organisational presence into Lok Sabha seats — particularly in West Bengal, where the All India Trinamool Congress (TMC) remains entrenched — is a substantially harder task than the party's current rhetoric suggests.
With the 2029 general elections still years away, the BJP's ability to convert its Northeast alliances and Bengal opposition gains into a record seat tally will depend on governance outcomes, coalition stability, and the evolving political landscape in each state.