India, ASEAN can jointly build Indo-Pacific production hub: ERIA study

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India, ASEAN can jointly build Indo-Pacific production hub: ERIA study

Synopsis

The China+1 playbook is only half a strategy — the real opportunity, according to an ERIA-backed analysis, is for India and ASEAN to stop competing for the same factory floors and start building an integrated Indo-Pacific supply chain. With electronics, EVs, semiconductors, and pharma as anchor sectors, the combination of India's scale and ASEAN's networks could offer multinationals something China alone currently provides: end-to-end manufacturing at continental scale.

Key Takeaways

An ERIA study finds ASEAN has strong global production network ties, while India's value chain integration still has room to grow — making the two sides complementary rather than competitive.
The analysis calls for the China+1 strategy to evolve into a unified India–ASEAN shared production framework targeting the Indo-Pacific economy.
Priority sectors for joint development include electronics , semiconductors , EV batteries , pharmaceuticals , and industrial machinery .
Indonesia (critical minerals), Malaysia (semiconductors), Thailand (automotive), and Vietnam (electronics exports) each bring distinct roles to the proposed framework.
India is positioned as a hub for design, engineering, industrial software, and high-value component production, supported by its large domestic market.
Investment cooperation must move beyond individual country-level promotion to joint industrial corridors and harmonised regulatory frameworks.

India and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) can together emerge as a dominant manufacturing centre in the Indo-Pacific economy by converting investment competition into a coordinated production strategy, according to an analysis citing research by the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA). The article, published on 30 October 2026, argues that the widely discussed China+1 diversification strategy needs to evolve into a unified India–ASEAN production framework if the two sides are to offer multinational companies a credible, scaled alternative to Chinese manufacturing.

The Case for a Shared Production Strategy

The ERIA study found that ASEAN already maintains relatively strong connections to global production networks, while India's integration into global value chains still has significant room for improvement. Rather than treating this gap as a weakness, the analysis frames it as an opportunity: the two sides hold complementary strengths that, if combined, would be far more competitive than either can achieve alone.

India brings a large domestic market, technological capabilities, and a broad industrial and labour base. ASEAN, meanwhile, offers dense supplier networks, well-developed ports, established industrial zones, deep export experience, and direct access to East Asian and Pacific markets. Operating independently, the article warns, risks duplication of investment and head-to-head competition in identical product categories — a lose-lose outcome for both sides.

How a Joint Supply Chain Would Work

From the lens of regional production network theory, the economic benefits are highest when companies can combine location-specific advantages across borders. Under a joint model, components could be manufactured in one country, processed in another, assembled at the most cost-efficient site, and distributed through shared regional trade corridors. This architecture, the article notes, is the fundamental difference between merely attracting foreign capital and building collective, durable competitiveness.

To realise this, both sides would need to develop a cross-regional supply chain map identifying priority industries, missing suppliers, technological requirements, and the most competitive production stages in each country. Priority sectors identified include electronics, semiconductors, electric vehicle (EV) batteries, pharmaceuticals, and industrial machinery. The existing trade agreement between India and ASEAN should, according to the analysis, be redirected toward facilitating trade in intermediate goods and components rather than finished products alone.

What Each Side Must Do

India needs to strengthen manufacturing competitiveness through improved regulatory certainty, expanded technology partnerships, and leveraging its domestic market to achieve production scale. The country is positioned, the article argues, to serve as a hub for design, engineering, industrial software, and selected high-value component manufacturing.

ASEAN member states each bring distinct sectoral strengths to the table. Indonesia can contribute through critical minerals, battery materials, and downstream industrial development. Malaysia is well placed to deepen semiconductor and electronics capabilities. Thailand can anchor automotive manufacturing, while Vietnam can extend its already strong electronics manufacturing and export network. The bloc as a whole needs to harmonise standards and build tighter connectivity between its industrial zones and Indian supplier networks.

Investment Cooperation Beyond Individual Promotion

The analysis stresses that investment cooperation must move beyond each country's individual promotion efforts. A coordinated approach — with joint industrial corridors, shared logistics infrastructure, and harmonised regulatory frameworks — would make the India–ASEAN combine genuinely attractive to multinationals seeking supply-chain resilience post-pandemic and amid ongoing US-China trade tensions. This comes amid a broader global shift in which companies are actively restructuring supply chains away from single-country dependency, and India and ASEAN are among the most frequently cited beneficiaries of that reorientation.

Whether both sides can translate strategic complementarity into institutional coordination remains the central question — one that policymakers on both sides will need to answer with concrete frameworks, not just policy intent.

Point of View

Shared industrial corridor governance, or at minimum a credible investment-matching platform. Without that, the 'shared strategy' risks remaining an aspirational talking point. India's own track record on regulatory certainty and value chain integration, which the ERIA study explicitly flags as lagging, also needs honest reckoning. The China+1 window is real, but it is not indefinitely open — Southeast Asian economies are already deepening ties with each other independently of India, and the gap between intent and execution on New Delhi's side is something that multinationals are watching closely.
NationPress
30 Oct 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the proposed India–ASEAN Indo-Pacific production hub?
It is a proposed joint manufacturing strategy in which India and ASEAN nations would coordinate their complementary strengths — India's domestic market, technology, and labour base, and ASEAN's supplier networks and export infrastructure — to create an integrated supply chain serving as a credible alternative to China for multinational companies. The concept is backed by research from the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
What is the China+1 strategy and how does it relate to India and ASEAN?
The China+1 strategy refers to the practice of multinational companies diversifying manufacturing operations beyond China to reduce supply-chain risk. Both India and ASEAN have individually sought to attract this redirected investment, but the ERIA-backed analysis argues they would be more competitive as a combined production zone than as separate destinations.
Which sectors are identified as priorities for India–ASEAN manufacturing cooperation?
The analysis identifies electronics, semiconductors, electric vehicle batteries, pharmaceuticals, and industrial machinery as the most suitable starting sectors for a joint India–ASEAN supply chain framework, given existing capabilities and global demand trends.
What role would individual ASEAN countries play in this framework?
Each member state is envisioned with a distinct role: Indonesia in critical minerals and battery materials, Malaysia in semiconductors and electronics, Thailand in automotive manufacturing, and Vietnam in electronics manufacturing and export networks. India would anchor design, engineering, industrial software, and high-value component production.
What steps are needed to make this strategy a reality?
The analysis recommends developing a cross-regional supply chain map, redirecting the India–ASEAN trade agreement toward intermediate goods, improving India's regulatory certainty, harmonising ASEAN standards, and moving investment cooperation beyond individual country-level promotion to a coordinated, joint framework.
Nation Press
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