Is India Set to Become the 3rd Largest Economy by 2030 with a $7.3 Trillion GDP?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- India is currently the world's fourth largest economy.
- Projected GDP of $7.3 trillion by 2030.
- Real GDP growth estimated at 8.2% in Q2 FY 2025-26.
- Inflation eases to a record low of 0.25%.
- Strong sectoral growth across primary, secondary, and tertiary sectors.
New Delhi, Nov 29 (NationPress) Currently the world's fourth largest economy, India is confidently steering towards becoming the third largest by 2030, with a projected GDP of $7.3 trillion, as stated in an official announcement.
The nation's economic rise continues to attract global interest, showcasing the effectiveness of decisive policymaking, structural reforms, and India’s increasing global integration, according to the report.
Recent data suggests that India's real GDP, adjusted for inflation, is set to grow by 8.2 percent in the second quarter of FY 2025-26, compared to a growth rate of 5.6 percent recorded during the same period in FY 2024-25.
In the first quarter of FY 2025-26, GDP expanded by 7.8 percent, against a growth of 6.5 percent in the first quarter of FY 2024-25. Nominal GDP has seen a growth rate of 8.7 percent in Q2 of FY 2025-26.
Every sector of the economy is contributing significantly to the country’s growth. The primary sector experienced a year-on-year Real GVA growth of 3.1 percent in Q2 FY 2025-26. Likewise, the Secondary sector grew by 8.1 percent and the Tertiary sector by 9.2 percent, enhancing the Real GDP growth rate for the same quarter.
Real GDP in the first half (April-September 2025-26) recorded an 8 percent growth rate, compared to 6.1 percent in the first half of FY25. The primary sector saw moderate growth at 2.9 percent, while the secondary (7.6 percent) and tertiary (9.3 percent) sectors demonstrated consistent expansion.
India's inflation trend in October 2025 shows a notable easing, highlighting the economy's solid fundamentals and effective price management strategies.
Headline inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), has decreased to 0.25 percent year-on-year, marking the lowest level recorded in the current CPI series.
The inflation rate remains comfortably within the Reserve Bank of India's tolerance band. The easing of inflation aligns with the RBI's decision to keep the repo rate at 5.50 percent with a neutral stance, indicating confidence in both price stability and growth prospects, as mentioned in the report.
“India's economy is on a stable and resilient growth trajectory, bolstered by structural reforms, digital transformation, and a strong commitment to inclusive development. With global organizations expressing confidence in India's growth path and robust macroeconomic indicators, the economy is well-positioned to maintain its upward momentum,” the report concluded.