Mettur Dam June 12 opening unlikely as storage at 41 tmcft
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
The customary June 12 opening of Mettur Dam for kuruvai irrigation in Tamil Nadu's Cauvery delta looks increasingly doubtful this year, with reservoir storage at less than half its capacity and the southwest monsoon forecast revised downward. Senior state government officials confirmed that current water levels are far from sufficient to support the traditional release date.
Current Storage Situation
As of Saturday, 31 May 2025, the Mettur reservoir held approximately 41 tmcft against its full capacity of 93.47 tmcft — a shortfall of more than 50 tmcft. The dam was receiving an inflow of roughly 1,950 cusecs while releasing around 1,000 cusecs downstream.
The situation upstream in Karnataka compounds the concern. According to data from the Karnataka State Natural Disaster Monitoring Centre, the combined storage in the Krishnaraja Sagar (KRS) and Kabini reservoirs stood at just 16.09 tmcft against a total capacity of 68.97 tmcft. The Harangi and Hemavathy reservoirs together held 17.75 tmcft against a combined capacity of 45.6 tmcft.
Monsoon Forecast Adds to Worry
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast a delayed onset of the southwest monsoon and revised its rainfall projection to 90 per cent of the long-period average. This below-normal forecast has intensified concerns over water availability ahead of the critical kuruvai sowing window.
Notably, despite the current shortfall, Tamil Nadu has already received about 330 tmcft of Cauvery water at Biligundulu during the 2025-26 water year — significantly exceeding its annual share of 176.85 tmcft.
Impact on Kuruvai Cultivation
Officials estimate that with present storage levels, kuruvai cultivation may be supported across only about 2.5 lakh acres, aided by nearly one lakh borewells and filter points. This is a steep drop from recent years: normal kuruvai coverage has been around 4.4 lakh acres, while last year it touched a record 6.09 lakh acres.
Agricultural experts note that irrigating even three lakh acres would require at least 80 tmcft of water — nearly double what is currently available. The state government is reportedly considering a special assistance package for affected farmers.
Historical Pattern and Alternatives
During the previous Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) government's term from 2021 to 2026, the Mettur Dam was opened on schedule in three out of five years. In 2022 it was opened ahead of schedule, but in 2023 irrigation releases were delayed until 29 July, when storage had reached nearly 88 tmcft.
Agricultural experts have advised farmers to complete pulse sowing — particularly black gram — by the second week of June to avoid damage from heavy rain during the latter phase of the southwest monsoon or the onset of the northeast monsoon. The state is also reportedly exploring measures to encourage pulse cultivation as an alternative crop this season.
With upstream reservoirs critically low and the monsoon forecast uncertain, the coming weeks will be decisive for millions of delta farmers dependent on the Cauvery for their livelihoods.