New Delhi/Patna, Nov 11 (NationPress) The National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to have a significant advantage in the upcoming Bihar assembly elections of 2025, as indicated by the People's Insight and Polstrat exit poll released on Tuesday.

The survey, which involved a total of 1,349,765 participants through interactive voice response and advanced AI-powered models, predicts that the NDA will secure between 133 and 148 seats, achieving a 44.71 percent vote share. This puts them comfortably ahead of the Mahagathbandhan, which is estimated to win between 87 and 102 seats, with a 40.34 percent vote share.

Within the NDA, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is anticipated to lead with a projection of 68 to 72 seats, while the Janata Dal (United) is expected to secure 55 to 60 seats.

The Lok Janshakti Party is forecasted to contribute 9 to 12 seats, while smaller allies such as the Hindustani Awam Morcha and Rashtriya Lok Morcha are likely to win 1 to 2 and 0 to 2 seats, respectively.

On the opposition front, the Rashtriya Janata Dal remains the major player within the Mahagathbandhan, expected to secure 65 to 72 seats. Meanwhile, the Indian National Congress is projected to achieve 9 to 13 seats, with leftist parties collectively anticipated to gain 11 to 14 seats.

The Vikassheel Insaan Party may contribute 2 to 3 seats, while the India Inclusion Party is likely to secure no seats.

Minor players are expected to have a limited impact. For instance, Jan Suraaj is predicted to attain 0 to 2 seats with a 7.93 percent vote share. The All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen is estimated to gain 2 to 3 seats with 1.74 percent of the votes, while Jan Jan Dal may secure 0 to 1 seat with a mere 0.25 percent.

Independent candidates could potentially win 1 to 2 seats, drawing support from 2.16 percent of voters, and approximately 2.87 percent of voters remain undecided or aligned with other minor parties.

This survey carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent, emphasizing a closely contested race where the NDA's lead, while notable, does not reach a two-thirds majority.

The close gap of just over four percentage points between the two principal alliances implies that factors related to regional affiliations, caste dynamics, and voter turnout on election day could still influence the final results.

Methodologically, the survey utilized statistical weighting for demographics, geography, and response patterns to ensure representativeness across Bihar's 243 constituencies.

The accuracy of these projections will be revealed through the final results.