How Much Influence Does PM Modi Have on Bihar Voters?
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Synopsis
In an intriguing development for the Bihar Assembly elections, a recent IANS-Matrize poll reveals that a notable 63% of voters are swayed by PM Modi's popularity. This could dramatically impact the upcoming elections. What does this mean for the state's political landscape?
Key Takeaways
- 63% of voters influenced by PM Modi's popularity.
- Support for Nitish Kumar remains strong among voters.
- High voter turnout expected with 7.43 crore registered voters.
- Polling conducted across 90,712 booths.
- Margin of error in the poll is 3%.
New Delhi, Nov 4 (NationPress) The popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi is poised to play a crucial role in the forthcoming Bihar Assembly elections, as indicated by the latest IANS-Matrize Opinion Poll, where 63 percent of participants expressed their intent to vote based on his reputation. Conducted from October 10 to November 3, with a sample size of 73,287, the poll revealed that a significant 63 percent of voters regard PM Modi's popularity as a major influencing factor in the elections scheduled for November 6 and 11.
Furthermore, 9 percent of respondents were uncertain about the impact of PM Modi’s popularity on the elections, while 8 percent acknowledged that it would have some effect on the outcomes.
Conversely, 19 percent of those surveyed believe that PM Modi’s popularity will not influence the Bihar elections, according to the findings. The margin of error for this poll is 3 percent.
Close to half of the participants, including 15,390 first-time voters, expressed support for Chief Minister Nitish Kumar to retain his position after the elections, with results to be announced on November 14.
In the IANS-Matrize Opinion Poll, 46 percent of participants favored Nitish Kumar of the Janata Dal (United) as their preferred choice for the position of Bihar Chief Minister, while 15 percent selected Tejashwi Yadav from the Mahagathbandhan as their choice.
Nitish Kumar's appeal as a chief ministerial candidate is also tied to the satisfaction level of voters regarding his administration. Notably, 44 percent of respondents expressed being “very satisfied” with the functioning of the Nitish Kumar-led government, and 38 percent reported being “satisfied” with the government’s performance.
The elections will see 121 assembly seats contested in the first phase and 122 seats in the second phase. The current Assembly, comprising 243 members, is set to conclude its term on November 22, 2025, with 2,616 candidates contesting across both phases.
Bihar boasts 7.43 crore registered voters, including 3.92 crore men and 3.5 crore women, with elections taking place across 90,712 polling booths.
Point of View
It is crucial to recognize the weight of public sentiment in shaping electoral outcomes. PM Modi's popularity is undeniably a significant factor in the forthcoming Bihar elections. However, it's essential to remember that local issues and candidate performance also play vital roles in voters’ decisions. This comprehensive approach will help us gauge the election more accurately.
NationPress
31/12/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the sample size of the IANS-Matrize Opinion Poll?
The IANS-Matrize Opinion Poll surveyed a sample size of 73,287 respondents.
When will the Bihar Assembly election results be announced?
The results for the Bihar Assembly elections will be declared on November 14.
How many assembly seats are contested in the first and second phases?
A total of 121 assembly seats will be contested in the first phase, and 122 seats in the second phase.
What percentage of voters support Nitish Kumar for Chief Minister?
According to the poll, 46% of respondents favored Nitish Kumar as their choice for Chief Minister.
What is the registered voter count in Bihar?
Bihar has approximately 7.43 crore registered voters.
