Is the Jungle Naxal Threat Decreasing While Urban Cells Emerge?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- The Naxal threat is diminishing in rural areas.
- State forces are set to play a larger role.
- Urban Naxal cells are emerging, posing new challenges.
- Continued vigilance is essential to prevent resurgence.
- Security audits are critical for future strategy adjustments.
New Delhi, Dec 5 (NationPress) As the deadline to eliminate the Naxal threat approaches, security forces, particularly from the central government, are gradually changing their tactics. Presently, the central forces are deployed in full strength across Maoist-affected regions, and with the threat decreasing rapidly, state security forces are poised to take on a more significant role.
While security agencies are confident in their ability to neutralize every remaining Naxalite, it is crucial to ensure that no resurgence occurs.
As the deadline nears, there may be a slight reduction in the number of central security forces. While a complete withdrawal is not anticipated for safety reasons, a significant decrease in troop strength is expected, according to an official.
With extensive realignment of forces in Maoist-impacted areas, the Intelligence Bureau's responsibilities are set to expand, particularly in addressing the urban threat. Agencies have been alerting about the rising ideological threat in cities, and the investigation into the protests at India Gate underscores this concern.
The inquiry revealed that certain individuals from the Bhagat Singh Chatra Ekta Manch (BSCEM), who organized the protest, allegedly have ties to Naxalites. One notable member, E. R. Akshay, is reportedly connected to the Maoist movement, with videos related to Naxal activities found on his phone. Conversations regarding the death of prominent Maoist Madvi Hidma were also discovered.
Intelligence agencies have cautioned for months that efforts to propagate ideology in urban centers are underway, and recent protests indicate that this initiative has already commenced. An officer noted that plans are in place to expand this movement significantly across various regions of the country, with the latest protest serving as a prime example.
Indeed, one could assert that the groundwork has been laid, and these elements are strategizing for a more extensive operation, stated another official.
During the protests, the primary focus was on pollution. However, a poster condemning Hidma's killing surfaced with the slogan, ‘Lal Salam.’ Protesters also incited police reactions, aware that such provocations could serve as a catalyst for further protests elsewhere in the country. These individuals recognize that the situation in the jungles is deteriorating and are attempting to shift the discourse to urban settings by seizing on topical issues to advocate for Naxalism.
This presents a perilous scenario, warns an official, as such protests frequently escalate into violence. The overarching objective is to keep major cities in a state of unrest as the situation in rural areas progresses toward resolution, remarked another official.
Meanwhile, routine security audits are being conducted in Maoist-affected regions.
Officials are evaluating the necessity of maintaining a large presence in these areas, given the significant reduction in the threat level.
When asked about the possibility of a complete troop withdrawal and whether security would be entirely entrusted to state authorities, the official cautioned that this would be unwise. Central forces will remain in these regions for several more years until state agencies can fully manage the situation.
However, a gradual reduction in forces is expected over the coming months to preempt any resurgence and to support state police until they are fully capable of independent operations.
Security experts emphasize the importance of close cooperation between state police forces during this period, as attempts by remaining Maoists to move between states could occur. This is where inter-state coordination becomes vital, experts advise.
While the Naxal issue may be resolved well before the March 2026 deadline, agencies have instructed security personnel to remain vigilant regarding some Maoists who might still be in hiding. Although their numbers are not extensive, exercising caution is advisable, according to an official.
Ongoing security audits will inform decisions on whether to maintain or decrease troop levels. As evaluations in rural areas continue, a significant portion of the struggle has shifted to urban spaces, with various groups striving to keep the ideology alive and ensuring that India remains in turmoil, stated an official from the Intelligence Bureau.