Pat Cummins likely to miss first ODI vs South Africa in Durban amid workload management

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Pat Cummins likely to miss first ODI vs South Africa in Durban amid workload management

Synopsis

Pat Cummins flying in late and skipping the Durban opener tells you everything about Australia's true priority — the WTC-linked Test series against South Africa. With Starc, Hazlewood and Cummins all being carefully rotated across just three ODIs, this tour is essentially a warm-up in disguise, and Nathan Ellis's standout Zimbabwe form is the unexpected subplot forcing a real selection dilemma.

Key Takeaways

Pat Cummins is reportedly set to sit out the first ODI against South Africa in Durban on Thursday, 25 September .
Cummins , Mitchell Starc , and Josh Hazlewood are all being rotated across the three-match ODI series to protect them for the upcoming Test series.
Mitchell Marsh is expected to captain Australia when Cummins is rested; Hazlewood may play the first and third ODIs , Cummins only the second .
Nathan Ellis impressed in Zimbabwe and is pressing for a permanent ODI spot, though his role overlaps with Cummins 's.
Billy Stanlake is ruled out with a side strain ; Spencer Johnson has returned home; Jack Edwards has been added as cover.
Cameron Green 's fitness remains in doubt; if cleared, Alex Carey could face a fight to keep his place in the eleven.

Australia's ODI captain Pat Cummins is reportedly set to sit out the series opener against South Africa in Durban on Thursday, 25 September, as the visitors prioritise careful workload management for their frontline pace attack ahead of a high-stakes Test series. According to a report by Cricinfo, the decision is part of a broader strategy to protect Cummins, Mitchell Starc, and Josh Hazlewood across the three-match ODI series.

Why Cummins Is Being Managed

Cummins arrived in South Africa later than fellow fast bowler Starc, signalling the intent to ease him into the tour. The upcoming Test series against South Africa carries crucial points in the race for the 2027 World Test Championship (WTC) final, making it a far higher priority than the ODI leg. Cummins had indicated last month that he might feature in as few as one ODI before the Test matches begin.

Both Cummins and Starc had already skipped Australia's ODI tour of Zimbabwe — which the visitors swept 3-0 — as part of the same management plan. With three ODIs compressed into seven days across Durban, Johannesburg, and Potchefstroom, team management is reportedly unlikely to push any of their Test quicks through the full schedule.

Likely Rotation Plan for the Pace Trio

According to reports, Hazlewood — who played just one game in Zimbabwe under similar management — could feature alongside Starc in the first and third ODIs, while Cummins may be reserved for the second match as his sole appearance. All-rounder Mitchell Marsh, who took over as ODI deputy following Steven Smith's retirement in 2025, is expected to lead the side in Thursday's opener whenever Cummins is rested.

Nathan Ellis Makes a Strong Case for Selection

Starc acknowledged that fast bowler Nathan Ellis has cemented his credentials as a regular ODI pick after a standout Zimbabwe series. 'I think he's grown into himself as a confident ODI bowler over the last few years, and it's great to see him get that reward in the series. He probably led the attack in the absence of Josh playing one game, Pat and I not over there, so really pushing his case as a lock as a pick in the one-day team, and no doubt he'll look to perform in these three as well,' Starc said after a training session.

Ellis's consistent form, however, creates a tactical puzzle. His role as a middle-overs and death-overs specialist closely mirrors that of Cummins himself, potentially complicating selection when all frontline quicks are available simultaneously.

Injury Concerns Further Stretch Squad Options

Australia's pace resources have been further thinned by injury. Billy Stanlake has been ruled out of the entire tour with a side strain, while Spencer Johnson has returned home to rest ahead of Australia A's 50-over matches in India, scheduled at Puducherry in October. All-rounder Jack Edwards has been drafted in as cover.

Cameron Green, who missed the Zimbabwe series with a shoulder issue, is reportedly being assessed. If cleared to play in Durban, his inclusion could trigger a middle-order reshuffle, with wicketkeeper-batter Alex Carey facing pressure to retain his place in the eleven.

The Bigger Picture: WTC Points on the Line

Australia's cautious approach underscores just how much the Test series matters. The South Africa Tests are a pivotal fixture in the WTC cycle, and arriving with a fully rested pace battery is seen as essential. Cummins is reportedly slated for similar management during Australia's ODI assignments against England in November and New Zealand next August, further indicating a long-term prioritisation of red-ball cricket. How Australia balance their ODI ambitions with Test preparation over the coming weeks will be closely watched by selectors and fans alike.

Point of View

Yet the team's own workload rules mean he may lose his spot the moment all three Test quicks are available. That structural contradiction — rewarding form in theory while protecting reputation in practice — is one Australian selectors have never fully resolved.
NationPress
23 Sept 2026

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Pat Cummins likely to miss the first ODI against South Africa?
Cummins is reportedly being rested to manage his workload ahead of Australia's high-stakes Test series against South Africa, which carries crucial points in the 2027 World Test Championship race. He arrived in South Africa later than other pacers and is expected to play only the second ODI as his sole appearance in the series.
Who will captain Australia if Cummins does not play in Durban?
All-rounder Mitchell Marsh is expected to lead Australia in the first ODI and in any other matches where Cummins is rested. Marsh took over as ODI deputy after Steven Smith's retirement in 2025.
What is the schedule for the three-match ODI series between Australia and South Africa?
The three ODIs are scheduled over seven days at Durban, Johannesburg, and Potchefstroom. The first match is on Thursday, 25 September 2026.
Which Australian players are unavailable or injured for the South Africa ODI tour?
Billy Stanlake has been ruled out with a side strain, and Spencer Johnson has returned home to rest before Australia A's matches in India. Jack Edwards has been added as cover. Cameron Green is also being assessed for a shoulder issue.
How has Nathan Ellis's form affected Australia's ODI fast-bowling plans?
Ellis was Australia's standout bowler in the Zimbabwe series won 3-0 and has strengthened his claim for a permanent ODI spot. However, his role as a middle-overs and death-overs specialist overlaps with Cummins's, creating a selection dilemma when all frontline quicks are fit.
Nation Press
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