Is the Exit Poll Predicting a Big Win for NDA Reliable?
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Synopsis
Congress MP Tariq Anwar weighs in on the exit polls indicating a significant victory for the NDA in Bihar. He cautions that these results should be seen as preliminary indications rather than final outcomes, pointing to past discrepancies in such predictions. With the elections having a strong voter turnout, the dynamics remain complex.
Key Takeaways
- Exit polls are indicative but not conclusive.
- Past polls have shown discrepancies in predicting NDA's performance.
- Women's turnout was notably high in the Bihar elections.
- Political assistance programs may influence voting behavior.
- Investigations into terrorism remain a critical issue in India.
New Delhi, Nov 12 (NationPress) In response to exit polls predicting a substantial victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in Bihar, Congress MP Tariq Anwar remarked on Wednesday that these polls should be viewed as an indication rather than a definitive conclusion.
“Typically, exit polls seem to favor the NDA. For instance, during the Lok Sabha elections, they forecasted over 300 seats for the NDA, yet they only managed around 240. In 2015, an exit poll predicted a majority for the NDA, but the Mahagathbandhan emerged victorious,” Anwar informed IANS.
He further noted that in West Bengal, an exit poll had suggested a win for the BJP, which ultimately did not materialize.
“Thus, while we can regard exit polls as an indication, it would be erroneous to consider them as the final results. Bihar is a vast state with numerous factors influencing voter behavior,” he stated.
According to Anwar, it is not guaranteed that all predictions made by exit polls will be accurate.
The Bihar Assembly Elections 2025, which saw significant voter turnout during both phases on November 6 and 11, are anticipated to yield a strong mandate for the BJP-led NDA while potentially undermining the RJD and Congress-led Mahagathbandhan, as indicated by most exit polls released on Tuesday.
Anwar also highlighted the considerable participation of women voters in Bihar, asserting that they have played an essential role in these elections.
He pointed out that the NDA government had announced a ₹10,000 assistance program for women just prior to the elections, which has evidently influenced their voting decisions.
“Many may not fully grasp the political motives behind such initiatives, so this move likely swayed their votes,” he told IANS.
Regarding the recent Delhi blast investigation by the NIA, Anwar expressed support for the inquiry, stating that it is beneficial for the National Investigation Agency to look into the incident.
“This was a significant attack. We had been under the impression that terrorism was on the decline, but that is not the case; terrorism continues to escalate in the country. It is crucial to investigate the roots of such incidents and identify those accountable,” he added.
On Tuesday, the Home Ministry transferred the Delhi blast investigation to the NIA.
The explosion occurred on the evening of November 10 when a Haryana-registered car parked near Gate No.1 of the Red Fort Metro Station detonated, resulting in at least eight fatalities and injuring numerous others.
Point of View
It is crucial to approach the topic of exit polls with a balanced perspective. While they can provide insights into public sentiment, they are merely predictions and not definitive outcomes. The complexities of voter behavior, especially in a diverse state like Bihar, underscore the importance of cautious interpretation of these polls.
NationPress
12/11/2025
Frequently Asked Questions
What did Tariq Anwar say about exit polls?
Tariq Anwar stated that exit polls should be viewed as indications rather than final results, citing past inaccuracies in such predictions.
How did the NDA perform in past elections according to exit polls?
In previous elections, exit polls predicted a strong performance for the NDA, including over 300 seats in Lok Sabha elections, but they secured around 240.
What role did women voters play in the Bihar elections?
Tariq Anwar noted that women voters significantly impacted the elections, especially after the NDA government's announcement of ₹10,000 assistance for women.
What was the outcome of the recent Delhi blast investigation?
The Home Ministry has handed over the investigation of the Delhi blast to the NIA, acknowledging the seriousness of the incident.
What should we take from the exit polls regarding the Bihar elections?
While exit polls provide insights, they should not be considered definitive, as multiple factors influence voter behavior in a large state like Bihar.
