Could China’s EV Deal with Canada Undermine Domestic Auto Production?
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
- China's EV deal with Canada is about more than market access.
- It could potentially harm Canada's domestic auto industry.
- Chinese brands are rapidly increasing their share in global markets.
- Canada must navigate trade dependencies carefully.
- Concerns about subsidized pricing and espionage are significant.
New Delhi, Jan 17 (NationPress) China's agreement with Canada to export as many as 49,000 electric vehicles (EVs) is not merely about gaining market access; it is a strategy aimed at achieving market supremacy that could severely impact the North American nation’s domestic auto manufacturing, according to a report.
The report published by Windsor Star mentioned that while Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney was in Beijing, he should be aware that Chinese President Xi Jinping shares a similar perspective to US President Donald Trump in wishing for Canada not to produce cars.
The analysis indicated that China's intention to inundate foreign markets with affordably priced vehicles, especially EVs, poses a significant threat to established auto manufacturers in Canada, potentially leaving the country reliant on Chinese suppliers without the advantages of a unified North American market.
It further highlighted the swift advancements made by Chinese automotive brands in various regions, noting that their share of new-car sales in Europe surged from below 3 percent at the beginning of 2025 to over 10 percent by the end of that year.
China is investing heavily to solidify its position in the global automotive sector, as quoted by Robin J. Brooks, an economist and senior fellow at the Brookings Institute in Washington, D.C.
He remarked, "In Europe, the proportion of Chinese vehicles has escalated from 4 percent of all imported automobiles to 14 percent last year, and by various measures, over 10 percent of all cars sold in late 2025."
In Brazil, where Chinese vehicles constituted about 10 percent of vehicle imports in 2019, this figure skyrocketed to 36 percent by October 2025. Notably, Chinese EVs dominate 80 percent of Brazil's electric vehicle market.
While Canada produces approximately 1.3 million cars annually, Brazil’s output is nearly double that, at close to 2.6 million vehicles per year.
The report also cautioned that China is likely to employ subsidized pricing strategies and an industrial policy focused on achieving dominance, along with raising concerns regarding potential spyware.
aar/na