Trump warns Iran: nuclear deal or US military force
Synopsis
Key Takeaways
US President Donald Trump on Monday, 7 July 2025, declared that his administration was prepared to use military force against Iran if ongoing nuclear negotiations failed, while simultaneously expressing a preference for a diplomatic settlement. Speaking at the White House following the launch of his 'Trump Accounts' investment programme, Trump stated that preventing Tehran from acquiring a nuclear weapon remained the administration's overriding objective.
The Core Warning
'We're going to win one way or the other,' Trump said. 'We're either going to make a deal or we're going to finish the job.' The President was unambiguous that a nuclear-armed Iran was not an outcome Washington would accept under any circumstances. He also clarified that his goal was not regime change: 'I went in for one reason very strongly — that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. I'm not looking for regime change.'
Claims of Military Degradation
Trump asserted that recent US military action had severely degraded Iran's armed forces, claiming the country no longer possessed operational naval vessels, aircraft, or radar systems. 'We have completely destroyed' its military capabilities, he said. These claims could not be independently verified at the time of the remarks. He also took credit for preventing a feared spike in global oil prices, saying a surge to '$300, $350 dollars a barrel' — as some had predicted — had not materialised.
The Naval Blockade and Diplomatic Shift
Trump confirmed that a US naval blockade had disrupted Iranian oil exports before being eased as diplomatic contacts resumed. 'Our great Navy... did the greatest blockade anyone's ever seen,' he said. 'We then freed up the blockade because we're close to maybe making a deal.' The easing of the blockade signals that back-channel negotiations are reportedly at an advanced stage, though no formal agreement has been announced.
Military Threats and Humanitarian Framing
Despite the diplomatic tone, Trump issued pointed warnings about US strike capabilities, saying Washington could 'knock down their bridges in one hour' and eliminate Iran's energy infrastructure entirely. He nonetheless framed restraint in humanitarian terms: 'I'd rather make a deal because I don't want to affect 91 million people.' This combination of explicit military threat and expressed reluctance to use it reflects the administration's dual-track pressure strategy.
Reading Iran's New Leadership
Trump also suggested that recent political changes inside Iran had produced more pragmatic leadership, though he stopped short of any definitive assessment. 'I think the third regime is more reasonable,' he said, adding, 'But we'll find out.' The remarks come as the Trump administration continues to pursue negotiations over Iran's nuclear programme while keeping sanctions and military options explicitly on the table.